Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2022

Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Wednesday, May 11, 2022

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 

Where to Watch:  BSSE

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +115, Braves -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +115, Braves -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +115, Braves -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

 

Boston Red Sox:  10-19 (5th place, AL East)

Atlanta Braves:  14-16 (2nd place, NL East)

 

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Boston Red Sox:  2-8 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10

 

 

 

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 10-19 record overall and they are 6-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox getting swept 3-0, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series finale of a 2-game series with the Braves on Wednesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Garrett Whitlock is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Nathan Eovaldi is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 1-1 with a 2.94 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits in 5 IP against the Chicago White Sox. They scored 5 runs in their last series averaging just under 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.

 

The Braves are coming into this game with a 14-16 record overall and they are 8-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series finale of a 2-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Kyle Wright is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Ian Anderson will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 3-1 with a 4.01 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 4 BB with 1 K on 5 hits in 5.1 IP against the New York Mets. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.

 

The Braves are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in their recent games as they have started to pile some wins up and are scoring a lot more runs in their games after a very slow start to the season. Their pitching was also awful to start the season but it has been getting a lot better and their ace pitchers are starting to round into their ace forms. They are going up against a Red Sox team that has been awful this season and they have been struggling to win any games at all, even the ones they play at home. They just played their last 2 series at home and only picked up 1 win out of those games, now going on the road to face the defending World Series Champions after they have started to heat up in their recent games. Eovaldi has been good for the Red Sox this season but he blew what should have been a win for his team in his last start, allowing 3 runs in that game but he was not getting any run support either. The Red Sox are on a bad losing streak right now and they have already been struggling to score runs in their games. Now they are going up against Ian Anderson who has been pitching very well this season and they will likely not break through him here. The best bet in this game is on the Braves to win here with how well they have been playing recently compared to the Red Sox.

 

Red Sox Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 11, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 3 Red Sox 1.

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Boston Red Sox: 132-130 (-9 Units) ML in all games. 52-59 (-8.7 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 20-8 UNDER in all games.

Atlanta Braves: 60-34 (+18.2 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 65-39 (+7.2 Units) ML as a favorite of -125 to -175. IAN ANDERSON is 10-6 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

 

 

Boston Red Sox:  M. Wacha (SP) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. C. Sale (SP) Mid June - Ribs. R. Hill (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness.

Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

 

 

 

"I'm very surprised. I know the quality of team that we have, so I know in the end everything is going to turn out and we're going to get to our full potential. Right now, it's not going our way." - Rafael Devers after their loss against the White Sox on Sunday.

 

 

"Absolutely it shows the team we're capable of and the team that we are. We're still trying to get our foothold. You'd love to get everything going and get on a run, but I think the split in New York and winning a series against a first-place team shows we're headed in the right direction." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Brewers on Sunday.

 

 

 

Enrique Hernandez (R) CF

Trevor Story (R) 2B

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Xander Bogaerts (R) SS

J.D. Martinez (R) DH

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Alex Verdugo (L) LF

Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B

Christian Arroyo (R) RF

 

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) DH

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Marcell Ozuna (R) LF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Travis Demeritte (R) RF

Dansby Swanson (R) SS

William Contreras (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)

Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (37)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (4)

RBI:  J.D. Martinez (14)

Stolen Bases:  Xander Bogaerts (1)

Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)

Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)

ERA:  John Schreiber (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Travis d'Arnaud (.299)

Hits:  Matt Olson (29)

Home Runs:  Austin Riley (7)

RBI:  Austin Riley (14)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (4)

Wins:  Max Fried (4)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (8)

ERA:  William Woods (0.00)

 

Managers:

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)