Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/10/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, May 09, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA 
Where to Watch:  TBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +125, Braves -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +125, Braves -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Red Sox +125, Braves -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Boston Red Sox:  10-19 (5th place, AL East)
Atlanta Braves:  14-16 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Boston Red Sox:  2-8 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 10-19 record overall and they are 6-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 5 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox getting swept 3-0, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series opener of a 2-game series with the Braves on Tuesday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Tuesday. Tanner Houck was the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Garrett Whitlock is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 1.25 ERA this season. His team lost all 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 9 Ks on 2 hits in 5 IP against the Los Angeles Angels. They scored 5 runs in their last series averaging just under 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 14-16 record overall and they are 8-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series opener of a 2-game series with the Red Sox on Tuesday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Tuesday. Charlie Morton was the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Kyle Wright will be on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 3-1 with a 1.74 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 9 hits in 7 IP against the New York Mets. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Red Sox vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They have not had a very good start to the season as they still sit below .500 with their overall record but they have won 3 of their last 4 games and are starting to hit the ball much better now. They just won their last series against the Brewers who were playing very well and now the Braves are at home against a Red Sox team that has been awful this season. The Red Sox are well below .500 to start the season and they have not been finding ways to score runs in their games. They have been losing a lot of their games recently as well and they just wasted a massive opportunity on a homestand to get some wins as they lost 5 of their 6 games there. The Braves are starting to heat up now and they are still the defending World Series Champions so they are going to be coming out of this slump sooner or later. The Red Sox have shown nothing this season and there is no reason to think they will win this game on the road with the way they have been playing. The best bet to place here is on the Braves to win this game.
 
Red Sox Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 10, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Red Sox 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Boston Red Sox: 49-69 (-4 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 132-130 (-9 Units) ML in all games. 20-8 UNDER in all games.
Atlanta Braves: 69-45 (+13.8 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 60-34 (+18.2 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 22-14 UNDER when playing with a day off.
 

Key Injuries

 
Boston Red Sox:  M. Wacha (SP) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. C. Sale (SP) Mid June - Ribs. R. Hill (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Atlanta Braves:  M. Pina (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye. K. Yates (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I'm very surprised. I know the quality of team that we have, so I know in the end everything is going to turn out and we're going to get to our full potential. Right now, it's not going our way." - Rafael Devers after their loss against the White Sox on Sunday.
 
 
"Absolutely it shows the team we're capable of and the team that we are. We're still trying to get our foothold. You'd love to get everything going and get on a run, but I think the split in New York and winning a series against a first-place team shows we're headed in the right direction." - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Brewers on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Christian Arroyo (R) RF
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) DH
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Marcell Ozuna (R) LF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Travis Demeritte (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
William Contreras (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Jaylin Davis (.500)
Hits:  Xander Bogaerts (37)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (4)
RBI:  J.D. Martinez (14)
Stolen Bases:  Xander Bogaerts (1)
Wins:  Michael Wacha (3)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  John Schreiber (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Travis d'Arnaud (.299)
Hits:  Matt Olson (29)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (7)
RBI:  Austin Riley (14)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (4)
Wins:  Max Fried (4)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (8)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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