Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 3, 2026
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch: CW
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: BC +20.5, SMU -20.5; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: BC +20.5, SMU -20.5; Over/Under: 56.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: BC +20.5, SMU -20.5; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Season Record
Boston College Eagles: 2-2 (0-1) (13th place, ACC)
SMU Mustangs: 3-1 (1-1) (7th place, ACC)
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Boston College Eagles: lost their last game at home against the Virginia Tech Hokies 21-14.
SMU Mustangs: won their last game at home against the Missouri State Bears 34-24.
Boston College Eagles vs SMU Mustangs Preview and Analysis
Boston College is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Virginia Tech 21-14. Mason McKenzie was the starting QB and he completed 11/23 passes for 111 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Mason McKenzie led the team in rushing yards with 138 and 2 TDs. Jaedn Skeete led the receivers with 37 receiving yards on 2 receptions. KP Price led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while E'Lla Boykin led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
SMU is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Missouri State 34-24. Kevin Jennings was the starting QB and he completed 33/39 passes for 464 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kendrick Raphael led the team in rushing yards with 98 and 1 TD. Yamir Knight led the receivers with 164 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 1 TD. Tavion Atkinson led the defense in that game with 8 tackles while Tavion Atkinson led the defense in sacks with 2. Brandon Booker came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Boston College vs SMU Prediction
The current betting odds have SMU listed as a 20.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. SMU has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall, but their 1-1 conference record has them right in the middle of the ACC. They have looked great on their home field though with their 2-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Boston College hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall and their 0-1 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the ACC. They haven't been a great road team either with their 0-1 road record this year. Boston College is coming off a 21-14 loss to Virginia Tech in their last one and they didn't look bad against a VA Tech team that has some life this season. BC has also been one of the worst teams in the ACC over the last few years though and they don't look like they are going to be a threat in the conference this year. SMU does have the potential to be a contender in this conference though and it wasn't that long ago either in which they made a CFP appearance. They will be looking to get back to that this season and they do have one of the best offenses in the ACC, led by a stud at QB named Kevin Jennings. They are coming off a 34-24 win over Missouri State in their last one and definitely didn't look great, but that was also a non-conference game against a lesser opponent and it was right after losing a big game to Louisville the week before. SMU is still alive to get to the ACC Championship though, especially after Louisville lost to Wake Forest, so SMU is going to bring a better effort here and they have the talent to leave Boston College in the dust. The best way to place a bet here is on SMU to cover the spread in this game.
Boston College SMU Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 3, 2026 (12:00 pm ET start time) is SMU 41 Boston College 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Boston College Eagles: 9-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 9-2 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 7-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 5-1 OVER off a home loss. 8-2 OVER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.
SMU Mustangs: 21-36 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 24-31 1H ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 9-3 OVER off a home win. 10-4 OVER after playing a game at home.
Key Injuries
Boston College Eagles: R. Swanson (WR) Probable - Undisclosed. B. Clough (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. MacCormack III (RB) Out - Shoulder.
SMU Mustangs: E. Kelly (RB) Probable - Undisclosed. M. Uter (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Rhodes (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Rhodes (RB) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I think I belong at this level. I can play at this level. I hope everybody has seen that.” - Mason McKenzie after their loss against VA Tech in their last game.
“Absolutely fantastic. He was awesome. He made us go.” - Rhett Lashlee after his team’s win against Missouri State in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Boston College Eagles
WR Swanson, Reed
WR Skeete, Jaedn
WR Green, Javarius
TE Moore, Zeke
QB McKenzie, Mason
RB Dickens, Evan
SMU Mustangs
WR Cooper, Jalen
WR Smith, Yannick
WR Knight, Yamir
TE Pittman Jr., Randy
QB Jennings, Kevin
RB Raphael, Kendrick
Statistical Leaders
Boston College Eagles
Passing: Mason McKenzie (759)
Rushing: Mason McKenzie (363)
Receiving: Dawson Pough (146)
Touchdowns: Mason McKenzie (3)
SMU Mustangs
Passing: Kevin Jennings (1,453)
Rushing: Kendrick Raphael (373)
Receiving: Yamir Knight (345)
Touchdowns: Kendrick Raphael (5)
Coaches:
Boston College Eagles: Bill O'Brien (3rd season)
SMU Mustangs: Rhett Lashlee (5th season)