Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, May 10, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 11, 2023
Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -2, 76ers +2; Over/Under:  214.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -2, 76ers +2; Over/Under:  214 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -1.5, 76ers +1.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Season Record

Boston Celtics:  57-25 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Philadelphia 76ers:  54-28 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Boston Celtics:  5-5 last 10
Philadelphia 76ers:  8-2 last 10


Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview and Analysis


The Celtics finished the regular season with a 57-25 record overall and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with both losses coming against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last 2 games. In game 5 of this series, Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 36 while Jaylen Brown was next on the team with 24 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 39.8% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 73.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.4 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 52-41 this season and their O/U record is 50-41-2.



The 76ers finished the regular season with a 54-28 record overall and they were 29-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with both wins coming against the Boston Celtics in their last 2 games. In game 5 of this series, Joel Embiid led the team in points in that game with 33 while Tyrese Maxey was next on the team with 30 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Tobias Harris led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 50.6% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 85.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.9 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 53-36-2 this season and their O/U record is 49-40-2.


Celtics vs 76ers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7-game series between the 2nd seeded Celtics and the 3rd seeded 76ers for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Eastern Conference. The 76ers are entering this game with a 3-2 series lead after taking another game in Boston in game 5 but the 76ers didn't look great in both of their home games in this series so far and have only won 1 of those too. The Celtics are now facing elimination and they are going to respond with a big push back in this game to try and force a game 7 back on their home court and it will be hard for the 76ers to repeat their road performance in game 5 which has given them the lead in this series. The Celtics made it all the way to the finals last year and they are not going to go down so easily here so expect the Celtics to bounce back in this game and respond with a big road win of their own. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game.

Celtics 76ers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, May 11, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 120 76ers 112.
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NBA Betting Trends


Boston Celtics: 2-8 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. 5-12 ATS revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points. 9-3 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 12-7 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

Philadelphia 76ers: 23-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 21-8 ATS after allowing 105 points or less. 19-10 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 8-2 OVER off an upset win as a road underdog.

Key Injuries


Boston Celtics:  D. Gallinari (SF) out for season - Knee.

Philadelphia 76ers:  None.


Notable Quotes


“If you're not willing to get dirty, if you're not willing to pretty much bleed, if you're not willing to break something...then you shouldn't be on that court. Because that's what it is. That's what the playoffs are about.” - Marcus Smart after their loss against the 76ers in their game on Tuesday, game 5 of this series.


“What we did tonight, it's easier said than done. But we have to do it again.” - Joel Embiid after their win against the Celtics in their game on Tuesday, game 5 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Boston Celtics
PG Marcus Smart
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Al Horford

Philadelphia 76ers
PG James Harden
SG Tyrese Maxey
SF Tobias Harris 
PF P.J. Tucker
C Joel Embiid

Statistical Leaders


Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (30.1)
APG: M. Smart (6.3)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.8)

Philadelphia 76ers
PPG: J. Embiid (33.1)
APG: J. Harden (10.7)
Reb/G: J. Embiid (10.2)

Coaches:
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (1st season)
Philadelphia 76ers: Doc Rivers (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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