Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/07/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, May 06, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Sunday, May 7, 2023
Venue:  Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -2.5, 76ers +2.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -2.5, 76ers +2.5; Over/Under:  215 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -2.5, 76ers +2.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Season Record

Boston Celtics:  57-25 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Philadelphia 76ers:  54-28 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Boston Celtics:  7-3 last 10
Philadelphia 76ers:  7-3 last 10


Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Preview and Analysis


The Celtics finished the regular season with a 57-25 record overall and they were 25-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with both wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last 2 games. In game 3 of this series, Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 27 while Jaylen Brown was next on the team with 23 points. Malcolm Brogdon led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 44.2% from the field, 35.6% from 3-point range, and 95.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.4 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 52-39 this season and their O/U record is 48-41-2.



The 76ers finished the regular season with a 54-28 record overall and they were 29-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with both losses coming against the Boston Celtics in their last 2 games. In game 3 of this series, Joel Embiid led the team in points in that game with 30 while James Harden was next on the team with 16 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Joel Embiid led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 39.7% from the field, 43.2% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.9 PPG against them. The 76ers have an ATS record of 51-36-2 this season and their O/U record is 47-40-2.


Celtics vs 76ers Prediction

The current betting odds have the 76ers listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the 2nd seeded Celtics and the 3rd seeded 76ers for the 2nd round of the playoffs in the NBA Eastern Conference. The Celtics are entering this game with a 2-1 series lead after stealing a road game back in game 3. The 76ers have now lost 2 games in a row with 1 of those coming on their home court and they are due for a response here. They played better in game 3 than they did in game 2 but they still didn't look great as they missed a lot of shots and will be looking for a much better effort on their home court down 2-1 in the series here. They can't afford to go down 3-1 in this series going back to Boston with the way the Celtics have been playing the last 2 games so they need to stop the momentum here on their home court and they will be throwing everything they have at the Celtics to even this one up. Expect a much better effort from both Harden and Embiid in this game as they bounce back and get a big win on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the 76ers to cover the spread in this game.

Celtics 76ers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, May 7, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is 76ers 114 Celtics 104.
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NBA Betting Trends


Boston Celtics: 9-20 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 10-17 ATS off a road win. 10-3 UNDER off a road win against a division rival. 13-3 UNDER on the road when the line is +3 to -3.

Philadelphia 76ers: 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 8-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 11-6 UNDER after 2 straight games attempting 80 or less shots. 21-12 UNDER off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals.

Key Injuries


Boston Celtics:  B. Griffin (PF) Ques Sun - Back. D. Gallinari (SF) out for season - Knee.

Philadelphia 76ers:  None.


Notable Quotes


“We’re just trying to make him work as much as we can. Trying to keep him off the free-throw line. Guys are just working to take away those details.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the 76ers in their game on Friday, game 3 of this series.


“I didn't get the ball enough. Not to score, but also to make plays for my teammates. They had a tendency of doubling quite a bit tonight, so I thought we could have used that to our advantage. When we did, we also missed a lot of wide-open 3s.” - Joel Embiid after their loss against the Celtics in their game on friday, game 3 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Boston Celtics
PG Marcus Smart
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Al Horford

Philadelphia 76ers
PG James Harden
SG Tyrese Maxey
SF Tobias Harris 
PF P.J. Tucker
C Joel Embiid

Statistical Leaders


Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (30.1)
APG: M. Smart (6.3)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.8)

Philadelphia 76ers
PPG: J. Embiid (33.1)
APG: J. Harden (10.7)
Reb/G: J. Embiid (10.2)

Coaches:
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (1st season)
Philadelphia 76ers: Doc Rivers (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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