Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, March 12, 2026
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Where to Watch: Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Celtics +6.5, Thunder -6.5; Over/Under: 216.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Celtics +6.5, Thunder -6.5; Over/Under: 216.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Celtics +6.5, Thunder -6.5; Over/Under: 216.5 points
Season Record
Boston Celtics: 43-22 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder: 51-15 (1st place, Northwest Division)
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Recent Form
Boston Celtics: 7-3 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder: 9-1 last 10
Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis
The Celtics are entering this game with a 43-22 record overall this season and they are 22-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs. Derrick White led the team in points in that game with 34 while Jayson Tatum was next on the team with 24 points. Jaylen Brown and Derrick White each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Sam Hauser led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 47.2% from the field, 37.3% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.2 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 38-27 this season and their O/U record is 23-42.
The Thunder are entering this game with a 51-15 record overall this season and they are 27-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets, the Dallas Mavericks, the Chicago Bulls, the New York Knicks, the Golden State Warriors, and the Nuggets again. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 35 while Jaylin Williams was next on the team with 29 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 15 while Jaylin Williams led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50.5% from the field, 40.4% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.9 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 31-35 this season and their O/U record is 34-32.
Celtics vs Thunder Prediction
The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder have looked great in their games this season with their 51-15 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with the best record in the NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 27-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Celtics have looked really good in their games this season with their 43-22 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They have been a great road team too with their 22-12 road record this year. The Celtics have been a big surprise this season as they were supposed to have a down year with the injury to Tatum, but not only have they managed to stay afloat without him, they have also looked like one of the best teams in the East. They have been rolling lately too as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they just got stronger with Tatum returning from his injury. They have looked great with him back in the lineup, but they are off a loss to the Spurs in their last one and they have definitely been cooling off in their last few games from how hot they were. The Thunder are no joke either, not only being the defending champions from last season, but still being the best team in the league this season too. They have also been rolling lately as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and they have been the hotter team with 6 wins in a row now. They are off a win over the Nuggets in their last one too and have beaten some really good teams lately, so they are going to bring their best effort here to show the Celtics that they are still the team to beat in the NBA. Look for the Thunder to ride that momentum on their home court and flex their muscles on a contender from the East like the Spurs just did. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game.
Celtics Thunder Prediction: Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 12, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 115 Celtics 105.
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NBA Betting Trends
Boston Celtics: 22-12 ATS in road games. 8-3 ATS off a road loss. 30-17 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 20-9 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 42-23 UNDER in all games.
Oklahoma City Thunder: 1-4 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 2-6 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 5-11 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. 7-4 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game.
Key Injuries
Boston Celtics: P. Pritchard (PG) Day To Day - Neck. N. Vucevic (C) Out - Finger.
Oklahoma City Thunder: C. Holmgren (C) Day To Day - Illness. A. Caruso (SG) Day To Day - Hip. I. Hartenstein (C) Day To Day - Calf. B. Carlson (C) Day To Day - Back. J. Williams (SG) Day To Day - Hamstring. T. Sorber (C) Out For Season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I feel like, honestly, they just got away with a lot, and I’m tired of the inconsistency.” - Jaylen Brown on getting ejected in their loss against the Spurs on Tuesday.
"I mean, tremendous poise, confidence. He doesn't change his mindset, regardless of circumstance. He doesn't break a sweat doing anything. That was an outstanding performance by him. Not only the last stretch, but the game control, the blend of attacking and passing. Put his teammates in advantages all night. They threw two guys at him all night and yet he was able to get his stuff in the game and activate his teammates." - Mark Daigneault on SGA after his team’s win against the Nuggets in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Boston Celtics
PG Derrick White
SG Jaylen Brown
SF Sam Hauser
PF Jayson Tatum
C Neemias Queta
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Luguentz Dort
SF Aaron Wiggins
PF Chet Holmgren
C Jaylin Williams
Statistical Leaders
Boston Celtics
PPG: Jaylen Brown (28.3)
APG: Derrick White (5.7)
Reb/G: Neemias Queta (8.3)
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.7)
APG: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (6.6)
Reb/G: Isaiah Hartenstein (9.2)
Coaches:
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (4th season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (6th season)