Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/11/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, December 11, 2025

Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  NBCS-B, FDSWI

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -8.5, Bucks +8.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -8.5, Bucks +8.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -8.5, Bucks +8.5; Over/Under:  226.5 points

Boston Celtics:  15-9 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Milwaukee Bucks:  10-15 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Boston Celtics:  8-2 last 10

Milwaukee Bucks:  2-8 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 15-9 record overall this season and they are 7-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers, the New York Knicks, the Washington Wizards, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Toronto Raptors. Jaylen Brown led the team in points in that game with 30 while Derrick White was next on the team with 27 points. Payton Pritchard led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Neemias Queta led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 47.8% from the field, 42.6% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.6 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 14-10 this season and their O/U record is 12-12.

The Bucks are entering this game with a 10-15 record overall this season and they are 7-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Philadelphia 76ers and the Detroit Pistons. Kevin Porter Jr. led the team in points in that game with 32 while Kyle Kuzma was next on the team with 15 points. Kevin Porter Jr. and Ryan Rollins each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Bobby Portis led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 44% from the field, 42.1% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 11-14 this season and their O/U record is 12-13.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked good in their games this season with their 15-9 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They have been a good road team too with their 7-5 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Bucks haven't looked good in their games this season with their 10-15 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East. They haven't looked great on their home court either with their 7-7 home record this season. The Bucks have been missing Giannis Antetokounmpo from their lineup lately and they have taken a big dive without him. They were already struggling to start the season when he was playing, but now they are 2-8 in their last 10 games and have lost 2 games in a row now too. The Celtics didn't have a great start to the year and they had some questions that needed to be answered with Tatum out for most of the season, but they have gotten their act together and have looked a lot better lately. They have been rolling now as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games, and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now too. The Celtics are starting to figure out how to win without Tatum in the lineup and they can take advantage of a struggling Bucks team that is also missing their best player. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, December 11, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Celtics 117 Bucks 104.

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Boston Celtics: 5-0 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 6-3 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 10-5 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 7-4 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 4-0 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less.

Milwaukee Bucks: 4-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% of their attempts or more. 7-13 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. 6-10 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 5-2 OVER as a home underdog. 6-3 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5.

Boston Celtics:  J. Tatum (PF) Out - Achilles.

Milwaukee Bucks:  A. Green (SG) Day To Day - Shoulder. G. Antetokounmpo (PF) Out - Calf. T. Prince (SF) Out - Neck.

"Nothing different, I think he just continues to get better. I mean, he's a guy that can handle in pick-and-rolls, can set in pick-and-rolls, can beat you off the dribble. His shot has gotten better and better. He gets to the free-throw line. You know, I think all of the areas in which you can score, he just continues to get better and better at." - Joe Mazzulla on Scottie Barnes after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Sunday.

“Let’s hope he’s back sooner, but I’m going to guess it’s more in the four-week range.” - Doc Rivers on the injury to Giannis.

PG Payton Pritchard

SG Derrick White 

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jordan Walsh

C Neemias Queta

PG Kevin Porter Jr.

SG Ryan Rollins

SF AJ Green

PF Myles Turner

C Jericho Sims

PPG: Jaylen Brown (29.1)

APG: Derrick White (5.3)

Reb/G: Neemias Queta (8.2)

PPG: Giannis Antetokounmpo (28.9)

APG: Giannis Antetokounmpo (6.1)

Reb/G: Giannis Antetokounmpo (10.1)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (4th season)

Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (3rd season)