Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/14/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, March 14, 2025

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL 

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -7, Heat +7; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -7, Heat +7; Over/Under:  214.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -7, Heat +7; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Boston Celtics:  47-19 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Miami Heat:  29-36 (3rd place, Southeast Division)

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Boston Celtics:  7-3 last 10

Miami Heat:  3-7 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 47-19 record overall this season and they are 24-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 33 while Derrick White was next on the team with 22 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Al Horford led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 43.6% from the field, 31.7% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.3 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 29-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 30-36.

The Heat are entering this game with a 29-36 record overall this season and they are 15-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game losing streak with losses coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Chicago Bulls, the Charlotte Hornets, and the Los Angeles Clippers. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 31 while Andrew Wiggins was next on the team with 22 points. Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Bam Adebayo and Kel'el Ware each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 47.6% from the field, 37.8% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.6 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 28-36-1 this season and their O/U record is 34-31.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 47-19 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot. They don't have the best record in the East this season, but they are still the defending champions from last year. They have also been a great road team this year with their 24-7 road record. Meanwhile, the Heat haven't looked good in their games this season with their 29-36 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the East, but that record also has them in a play-in spot. They are still in the playoff race due to how bad the East has been this season, but they haven't looked good in their games lately. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have lost 5 games in a row now. They have also looked bad on their own home court this year with their 15-16 home record. The Celtics have been hot lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but they are also coming off a home loss to the Thunder in their last one so they will be looking to bounce back in a big way here. The Heat definitely aren't what they used to be when they had Jimmy Butler and it is starting to show with the way the wheels have been falling off lately. The Celtics have a lot more talent on their team and they can take advantage of a struggling Heat team to bounce back in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 14, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Celtics 119 Heat 103.

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Boston Celtics: 21-10 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 38-21 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days. 118-73 1H ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less. 27-19 OVER when the total is 210 to 219.5. 26-18 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%).

Miami Heat: 12-21 ATS as a home underdog. 22-33 ATS in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 10-18 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 32-24 OVER in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 29-17 OVER at home revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 

Boston Celtics:  K. Porziņģis (C) Day To Day - Illness.

Miami Heat:  A. Burks (SG) Day To Day - Back. N. Jović (PF) Out - Hand. D. Smith Out For Season - Achilles.

"I thought we got amazing looks. I mean, that's just the shell of their defense. They protect the paint first. They fight. They try to get out. I thought our two-on-one reads were really good. I thought we generated relatively great looks throughout most of the game." - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in their game on Wednesday.

“It just didn’t look right against this team, to start two bigs. It’s not necessarily an indictment on Kel’el. But we weren’t able to take advantage of it. We’ve been working on these things. So we didn’t go that way in the second half. There were stretches that looked OK. But Zubac kind of had his way there in the paint.” - Erik Spoelstra after his team’s loss against the LA Clippers in their game on Wednesday.

PG Derrick White

SG Jrue Holiday

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Luke Kornet

PG Davion Mitchell

SG Tyler Herro

SF Andrew Wiggins

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PPG: J. Tatum (27.2)

APG: J. Tatum (5.9)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.8)

PPG: T. Herro (23.9)

APG: T. Herro (5.7)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (3rd season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)