Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/11/2024

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Sunday, February 11, 2024

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -5.5, Heat +5.5; Over/Under:  226 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -5.5, Heat +5.5; Over/Under:  226 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -5.5, Heat +5.5; Over/Under:  226 points

Boston Celtics:  40-12 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Miami Heat:  28-24 (1st place, Southeast Division)

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Boston Celtics:  8-2 last 10

Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 40-12 record overall and they are 15-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Atlanta Hawks, and the Washington Wizards in their last game. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 35 while Kristaps Porziņģis was next on the team with 34 points. Jayson Tatum led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kristaps Porziņģis led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 52.2% from the field, 32.4% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.1 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 24-26-2 this season and their O/U record is 26-26.

The Heat are entering this game with a 28-24 record overall and they are 15-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Orlando Magic and the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Tyler Herro led the team in points in that game with 24 while Bam Adebayo was next on the team with 20 points. Jimmy Butler led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Jimmy Butler led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 49.4% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.8 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 23-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-31.

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked great in their games this season with their 40-12 record overall which has them at the top of the East right now with the best record in the entire NBA too. They have been a good road team this season with their 15-9 road record and they have a lot of momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now. Meanwhile, the Heat have looked good in their games this season with their 28-24 record overall which has them surging up the standings in the East, fighting for a play-in spot for the playoffs right now. They haven't looked great on their home court this season with their 15-12 home record but they do have some momentum of their own with 2 wins in a row now. The Heat have been struggling all season though while the Celtics have consistently been the best team in the NBA all season. The Celtics also have some extra motivation here considering what happened in the playoffs last year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, February 11, 2024 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Celtics 117 Heat 108.

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Boston Celtics: 1-7 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 1-7 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 5-11 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 14-4 UNDER off 2 home no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite. 26-13 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.

Miami Heat: 9-2 ATS when playing with 3 or more days rest. 26-14 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent. 4-1 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 31-21 UNDER in all games. 8-2 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 10-4 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins.

Boston Celtics:  J. Springer (PG) Ques Sun - Ankle. X. Tillman (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Miami Heat:  H. Highsmith (SF) Ques Sun - Personal. J. Cain (SF) Ques Sun - Illness. D. Smith (SG) out for season - Knee.

“I don't think they're bad habits. I do think there have been some moments of slippage throughout games. What I care about more is our approach to those slippages.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Wizards in their game on Friday.

“My focus is always to win.” - Jimmy Butler after their win against the Spurs in their game on Wednesday.

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Derrick White

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Kristaps Porzingis

PG Terry Rozier 

SG Tyler Herro

SF Jimmy Butler

PF Caleb Martin

C Bam Adebayo

PPG: J. Tatum (27)

APG: D. White (4.8)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.4)

PPG: J. Butler (21.4)

APG: T. Rozier (6.4)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.5)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (16th season)