Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/04/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  NBCS-B, SCHN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics +5.5, Rockets -5.5; Over/Under:  216.5 points

Boston Celtics:  31-18 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Houston Rockets:  31-17 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Boston Celtics:  7-3 last 10

Houston Rockets:  8-2 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 31-18 record overall this season and they are 15-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Sacramento Kings and the Milwaukee Bucks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Dallas Mavericks still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Bucks, Jaylen Brown led the team in points in that game with 30 while Anfernee Simons was next on the team with 27 points. Derrick White led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jaylen Brown led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 44.6% from the field, 35.7% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.1 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 27-22 this season and their O/U record is 19-30.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 31-17 record overall this season and they are 17-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Atlanta Hawks, the Dallas Mavericks, and the Indiana Pacers. Alperen Şengün led the team in points in that game with 39 while Jabari Smith Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Amen Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 46% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 83.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 22-26 this season and their O/U record is 21-26-1.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 31-17 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 17-4 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Celtics have looked good in their games this season with their 31-18 record overall which has them right near the top of the East. They have been a good road team too with their 15-10 road record this year. The Celtics have surprisingly been one of the best teams in the East this season even though they are missing their best player to an injury. They have been rolling in their games lately too, going 7-3 in their last 10 and winning 2 games in a row now. They have been beating up on bad teams in their last few games though and they aren't in a great situation here. They are playing this game on a back-to-back and even though they have a weaker Mavericks opponent on Tuesday, travel is still going to be a factor for them with both games being on the road. As good as the Celtics have looked lately, the Rockets have been the hotter team coming into this game. The Rockets are 8-2 in their last 10 games and they have been rolling with 3 wins in a row now. They have also been beating up on bad opponents in these games, but the Rockets are a true contender in the West this year with the talent they have so they are going to bring their best effort for one of the best teams in the East who has won a championship in the last few years. The Rockets are also going to have the rest on their side here so look for them to take advantage of the Celtics on the road in a bad situation. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, February 4, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Rockets 111 Celtics 104.

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Boston Celtics: 6-3 ATS as a road underdog. 26-19 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. 21-12 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 30-19 UNDER in all games. 7-3 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Houston Rockets: 5-8 ATS off a road win. 2-6 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 5-9 ATS at home versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 14-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 10-3 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game.

Boston Celtics:  J. Tatum (PF) Out - Achilles.

Houston Rockets:  K. Durant (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. S. Adams (C) Out For Season - Ankle. F. VanVleet (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“We're never going to be top five, but we have to be better. There's ones that we have to get, and then there's we have to be able to compensate in other areas to be better at that, whether it's our shot making, whether it's our turnovers, whether it's our offensive rebounds, whether it's us not turning over.” - Joe Mazzulla after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Sunday.

"You get a chemistry with teammates hopefully they move with you, I’m confident in my dribble so I’m comfortable. Just have to make the right read." - Fred VanVleet on keeping turnovers down.

PG Payton Pritchard

SG Derrick White 

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Sam Hauser

C Neemias Queta

PG Amen Thompson

SG Tari Eason

SF Kevin Durant

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: Jaylen Brown (29.4)

APG: Derrick White (5.4)

Reb/G: Neemias Queta (8.1)

PPG: Kevin Durant (26.2)

APG: Alperen Sengun (6.3)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (9.4)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (4th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (3rd season)