Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/07/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 7, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -1.5, Nuggets +1.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -1.5, Nuggets +1.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -1.5, Nuggets +1.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Boston Celtics:  48-13 (1st place, Atlantic Division)

Denver Nuggets:  42-20 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Boston Celtics:  9-1 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10

The Celtics are entering this game with a 48-13 record overall and they are 19-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Jayson Tatum led the team in points in that game with 26 while Kristaps Porziņģis was next on the team with 24 points. Derrick White led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jayson Tatum led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 42.4% from the field, 39.5% from 3-point range, and 91.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.8 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 30-28-3 this season and their O/U record is 29-32.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 42-20 record overall and they are 24-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Jamal Murray led the team in points in that game with 28 while Nikola Jokić was next on the team with 25 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 42.7% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.4 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 27-33-2 this season and their O/U record is 23-39.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 42-20 record overall which has them right near the top of the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 24-6 home record. Meanwhile, the Celtics have looked really good in their games this season with their 48-13 record overall which leads the East with the best record in the entire NBA. They have also been a good road team this year with their 19-10 road record, but they definitely haven't been at their best in their road games with a majority of their losses this season coming in those games. The Celtics have also been really hot lately with their 9-1 record in their last 10 games, but they did lose some momentum in their last one with a loss to the Cavaliers in a road game which snapped an 11 game winning streak that they were on. The Nuggets are only 6-4 in their last 10 games but they have also been getting hot lately as they were on a 6 game winning streak before losing at home to the Suns in their last one. Both of these teams have been hot lately with a lot of momentum on their sides but the Nuggets have the slight advantage in this game being at home. The Nuggets are also the defending NBA champions so as good as the Celtics have been this season, the Nuggets will bring their best effort here to show they are still the team to beat in this league. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 7, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 111 Celtics 107.

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Boston Celtics: 38-19 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 20-11 ATS after a game where both teams scored 105 points or less. 32-22 UNDER as a road favorite of 6 points or less. 5-1 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more. 

Denver Nuggets: 6-11 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 13-19 ATS in March games. 18-7 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 37-24 UNDER in all games. 21-11 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Boston Celtics:  N. Queta (C) Mid March - Knee.

Denver Nuggets:  B. Key (SF) Ques Thurs - Personal. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“That’s what happens when you don’t match the gas and don’t put an NBA team away. Tip your cap to Dean Wade. He got hot, but we should have won that game. We haven’t really seen a team storm back like that. Today was a mentality loss. We had the game. Shouldn’t have happened.” - Jaylen Brown after their loss against the Cavaliers in their game on Tuesday.

"That was the message at halftime — we’re not playing hard enough. I think we had a couple of guys that kind of showed up tonight in chill mode.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Tuesday.

PG Jrue Holiday

SG Derrick White

SF Jaylen Brown

PF Jayson Tatum

C Kristaps Porzingis

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: J. Tatum (27.1)

APG: D. White (4.9)

Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.5)

PPG: N. Jokic (25.9)

APG: N. Jokic (9.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.3)

Coaches:

Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)