Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/05/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 04, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, March 5, 2024
Venue:  Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Celtics -6.5, Cavaliers +6.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Celtics -6.5, Cavaliers +6.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Celtics -6.5, Cavaliers +6.5; Over/Under:  219.5 points

Season Record

Boston Celtics:  48-12 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
Cleveland Cavaliers:  39-21 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Boston Celtics:  10-0 last 10
Cleveland Cavaliers:  5-5 last 10


Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview and Analysis


The Celtics are entering this game with a 48-12 record overall and they are 19-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on an 11 game winning streak with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Atlanta Hawks, the Washington Wizards, the Miami Heat, the Brooklyn Nets twice in a row, the Chicago Bulls, the New York Knicks, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Dallas Mavericks, and the Golden State Warriors in their last game. Jaylen Brown led the team in points in that game with 29 while Jayson Tatum was next on the team with 27 points. Derrick White led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Oshae Brissett led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 55.2% from the field, 51% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.9 PPG against them. The Celtics have an ATS record of 30-27-3 this season and their O/U record is 29-31.



The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 39-21 record overall and they are 20-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Knicks in their last game. Sam Merrill led the team in points in that game with 21 while Darius Garland was next on the team with 19 points. Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Evan Mobley led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 44.8% from the field, 38.6% from 3-point range, and 37.5% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.5 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 29-29-2 this season and their O/U record is 26-33-1.


Celtics vs Cavaliers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Celtics listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Celtics have looked really good in their games this season with their 48-12 record overall which has them leading the East with the best record in the entire NBA. They have also been a good road team this year with their 19-9 road record. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have also looked really good in their games this season with their 39-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot. They have looked great on their home court this year with their 20-11 home record too, but they did just lose at home to the Knicks in their last one and they haven't looked great lately either with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games. the Celtics have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 10-0 record in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 11 wins in a row now too. The Celtics just continue to roll every team they play and even though they haven't been as good in their road games as they have been at home, the Cavs have been struggling lately and the Celtics can take advantage of that with how hot they have been. The best way to place a bet here is on the Celtics to cover the spread in this game. 

Celtics Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 5, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Celtics 121 Cavaliers 110.
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NBA Betting Trends


Boston Celtics: 9-0 ATS after 4 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 10-5 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 22-15 ATS after allowing 95 points or less. 19-7 UNDER after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more. 40-21 UNDER after a huge blowout win by 30 or more. 

Cleveland Cavaliers: 7-12 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 25-33 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 5-10 ATS in the second half of the season. 9-5 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents. 28-11 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 13-7 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.

Key Injuries


Boston Celtics:  K. Porzingis (PF) Ques Tues - Quadricep. N. Queta (C) Mid March - Knee.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  C. LeVert (SG) Ques Tues - Elbow. D. Mitchell (SG) Ques Tues - Knee. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Thompson (C) Elig March 16 - Suspension.


Notable Quotes


“It feels great, but, at the same time, it's always within humility. We don't take the game for granted. We didn't come and mess around and that's just how we show our respect to the game; we handle business and take care of it. ... It's a lot of respect for the Golden State Warriors, but we feel like it's our time now.” - Jaylen Brown after their win against the Warriors in their game on Sunday.


“We played in spurts. We had a good second quarter. But to come out of halftime and give up 36 points to a team that was down as many guys as they were down, that’s disappointing defensively.” - J.B. Bickerstaff after his team’s loss against the Knicks in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Boston Celtics
PG Jrue Holiday
SG Derrick White
SF Jaylen Brown
PF Jayson Tatum
C Kristaps Porzingis

Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Darius Garland
SG Donovan Mitchell 
SF Max Strus
PF Evan Mobley
C Jarrett Allen

Statistical Leaders


Boston Celtics
PPG: J. Tatum (27.1)
APG: J. Tatum (4.9)
Reb/G: J. Tatum (8.4)

Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: D. Mitchell (28)
APG: D. Mitchell (6.2)
Reb/G: J. Allen (10.5)

Coaches:
Boston Celtics: Joe Mazzulla (2nd season)
Cleveland Cavaliers: J.B. Bickerstaff (5th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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