Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/04/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Monday, March 4, 2024

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Bruins +114, Leafs -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Bruins +114, Leafs -135; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Bruins +110, Leafs -130; Over/Under:  6 goals

Boston Bruins:  35-13-14 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  35-17-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Boston Bruins:  3-2-5 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  9-1-0 last 10

The Bruins are entering this game with 84 points, a 35-13-14 record overall, and they are 16-6-9 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Islanders in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-1. Marc McLaughlin scored 1 goal for them in that game. Charlie McAvoy and James van Riemsdyk each led the team in assists with 1 while Jake DeBrusk led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Linus Ullmark was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 26 shots with 21 saves and a .808 save percentage. Their offense has scored 208 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 174 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 78 points, a 35-17-8 record overall, and they are 17-11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New York Rangers in their last game, winning that one at home 4-3 in a shootout. Mitchell Marner, William Nylander, and John Tavares each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Max Domi, Calle Järnkrok, Auston Matthews, Jake McCabe, and Morgan Rielly each led the team in assists with 1 while John Tavares led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 35 shots with 32 saves and a .914 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 224 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 190 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Leafs have looked really good in their games this season with their 35-17-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East and in a playoff spot. They haven't been at their best on home ice this season but they have still been a good team there with their 17-11-2 home record. Meanwhile, the Bruins have also looked really good in their games this season with their 35-13-14 record overall which has them in 2nd place of their division in the East with one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have been a good road team too with their 16-6-9 road record, but they haven't been at their best in these games either. The Bruins have also lost a lot of their momentum lately as they just lost to the Islanders in their last one and they have looked terrible with their 3-2-5 record in their last 10 games too. The Leafs are going to have a ton of momentum coming into this one off a tough win on home ice against the Rangers and they have now won 2 games in a row. They have also been really hot coming into this one with their 9-1-0 record in their last 10 games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Leafs to win this game. 

Bruins Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, March 4, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 4 Bruins 2.

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Boston Bruins: 156-83 (+23.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 53-27 (+11.5 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 25-17 UNDER off a road loss. 4-1 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive overs.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 147-94 (-19.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 54-34 (-11.4 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 23-15 UNDER revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less. 6-3 UNDER revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less. 

Boston Bruins:  P. Zacha (C) Ques Mon - Lower Body J. Brazeau (RW) Ques Mon - Undisclosed. M. Grzelcyk (D) Ques Mon - Undisclosed. H. Lindholm (D) Mid March - Lower Body. M. Poitras (C) out for season - Shoulder. M. Lucic (LW) out for season - Ankle.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  I. Lyubushkin (D) Ques Mon - Head. M. Giordano (D) Out indefinitely - Concussion. C. Timmins (D) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.

“They just seemed to get to every loose puck and win every battle tonight. We didn’t have enough, our compete level wasn’t high enough, didn’t win enough one-on-one battles and it showed.” - Brad Marchand after their loss against the Islanders in their game on Saturday.

“Tie game going into the third, tie game going into overtime against a really good team. You’ve gotta have the confidence when the pressure’s on.” - Max Domi after their win against the Rangers in their game on Saturday.

LW Marchand, Brad

C Coyle, Charlie

RW Pastrnak, David

LD Wotherspoon, Parker

RD McAvoy, Charlie

G Ullmark, Linus

LW Knies, Matthew

C Matthews, Auston

RW Marner, Mitchell

LD Rielly, Morgan

RD Lyubushkin, Ilya

G Samsonov, Ilya

Points: D. Pastrnak (87)

Goals: D. Pastrnak (38)

Assists: D. Pastrnak (49)

GAA: J. Swayman (2.53)

Points: W. Nylander (83)

Goals: A. Matthews (53)

Assists: W. Nylander (50)

GAA: M. Jones (2.71)

Coaches:

Boston Bruins: Jim Montgomery (2nd season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)