by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 28, 2023
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, December 2, 2023
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: BSU -2.5, UNLV +2.5; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: BSU -2.5, UNLV +2.5; Over/Under: 58.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: BSU -2.5, UNLV +2.5; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Season Record
Boise State Broncos: 7-5 (6-2) (3rd place, MWC)
UNLV Rebels: 9-3 (6-2) (1st place, MWC)
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Recent Form
Boise State Broncos: won their last game at home against the Air Force Falcons 27-19.
UNLV Rebels: lost their last game at home against the San Jose State Spartans 37-31.
Boise State Broncos vs UNLV Rebels Preview and Analysis
Boise State is entering this game with a 7-5 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Air Force 27-19. Taylen Green was the starting QB and he completed 13/17 passes for 228 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 107 and 1 TD. Ashton Jeanty led the receivers with 118 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Alexander Teubner led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Andrew Simpson, Ahmed Hassanein, and Braxton Fely each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kaonohi Kaniho came away with the only interception for them in that game.
UNLV is entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against San Jose State 37-31. Jayden Maiava was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 229 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Vincent Davis led the team in rushing yards with 88. Ricky White led the receivers with 111 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jackson Woodard led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Boise State vs UNLV Prediction
The current betting odds have UNLV listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This game will be the Mountain West Conference Championship between Boise State and UNLV with UNLV having the home advantage. UNLV has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-3 record overall which is the best record in the MWC. They were 6-2 in their conference games too and were really good in their home games, going 5-1 in those. Meanwhile, Boise State looked good in conference play this season with their 6-2 conference record to get to this game but they were only 7-5 overall as they struggled a lot in non-conference games. They have been playing a lot better in their games lately as they are undefeated since firing their head coach Andy Avalos, but they have also looked terrible in their road games this season with their 2-4 road record. UNLV lost a bad game at home last week as they were trailing San Jose State the entire time but they will be a lot more focused here and will be playing with the motivation to make history for their program, especially since they were picked to be one of the worst teams in the conference. UNLV has had an incredible season and they will finish it strong with the MWC Championship. The best way to place a bet here is on UNLV to cover the spread in this game.
Boise State UNLV Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, December 2, 2023 (3:00 pm ET start time) is UNLV 31 Boise State 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Boise State Broncos: 4-8 ATS off a home win. 4-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less. 19-8 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 11-6 UNDER in road games. 6-1 UNDER as a road favorite of 3 points or less.
UNLV Rebels: 24-12 ATS in all games. 15-6 ATS as an underdog. 10-2 ATS after playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. 8-4 UNDER after playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored.
Key Injuries
Boise State Broncos: C. Penry (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Whiting (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Crowe (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. M. Notarainni (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. T. Wegis (DL) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. D. Washington (DE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. M. Madsen (QB) out for season - Leg. S. Cobbs (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. L. Caples (WR) out for season - Leg.
UNLV Rebels: J. Williams (DB) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Notable Quotes
“(These players) had every reason to put their heads down and not go to work, and they haven’t flinched. It’s the resiliency of these leaders, this team and this staff, and that’s why they deserve all the credit and why I’m so proud of them.” - Spencer Danielson on his team making it to the MWC Championship.
“The historical significance of how many (championship games) we have or have not played in should have no bearing on how we prepare and play on Saturday. It’s exciting for us to be the first one. We’re going to embrace that.” - Barry Odom on his team making it to the MWC Championship.
Starting Lineups
Boise State Broncos
WR Strachan, Prince
WR Bolt, Austin
WR Bowens, Billy
TE Smith, Riley
QB Green, Taylen
RB Holani, George
UNLV Rebels
WR McKie, Senika
WR White, Ricky
WR De Jesus, Jacob
TE Zeon III, Shelton
QB Maiava, Jayden
RB Lester, Donavyn
Statistical Leaders
Boise State Broncos
Passing: T. Green (1526)
Rushing: A. Jeanty (1113)
Receiving: E. McAlister (873)
Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (18)
UNLV Rebels
Passing: J. Maiava (2626)
Rushing: V. Davis Jr (667)
Receiving: R. White (1298)
Touchdowns: J. Thomas (12)
Coaches:
Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (Interim)
UNLV Rebels: Barry Odom (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
