Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/22/2023

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Friday, September 22, 2023

Venue:  Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  BSU -6.5, SDSU +6.5; Over/Under:  45 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  BSU -7, SDSU +7; Over/Under:  45 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  BSU -7, SDSU +7; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Boise State Broncos:  1-2 (0-0) (8th place, MWC)

San Diego State Aztecs:  2-2 (0-0) (5th place, MWC)

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Boise State Broncos:  won their last game at home against the North Dakota Fighting Hawks 42-18

San Diego State Aztecs:  lost their last game on the road against the Oregon State Beavers 26-9.

Boise State is entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against North Dakota 42-18. Taylen Green was the starting QB and he completed 18/29 passes for 188 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jambres Dubar led the team in rushing yards with 62. Eric McAlister led the receivers with 143 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Marco Notarainni led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 8 assisted tackles while Ahmed Hassanein led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

San Diego State is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Oregon State 26-9. Jalen Mayden was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 256 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jaylon Armstead led the team in rushing yards with 48 and 1 TD. Brionne Penny led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Marcus Ratcliffe led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Noah Tumblin and Cedarious Barfield each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have San Diego State listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. San Diego State hasn't been good this season with their 2-2 record overall but they do have an extra game under their belt and have been getting better as they figure out what they are this season. They have lost their last 2 games after opening the season with 2 wins but they have also played some really tough teams in those games as their losses were to UCLA and Oregon State. They will have another tough task here with Boise State but Boise State hasn't been as good as they have been in previous years and they also have a losing record this season as they are 1-2. San Diego State also plays a lot better in their home games just like Boise State so SDSU being at home here does give them a big advantage in this game. This will also be a much closer game since both teams have good defenses and this is the 1st conference game of the season for each team so all the value is with San Diego State getting the points at home. The best way to place a bet here is on San Diego State to cover the spread in this game.

Boise State San Diego State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, September 22, 2023 (10:30 pm ET start time) is SDSU 20 BSU 17.

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Boise State Broncos: 2-9 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 3-6 ATS after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. 10-2 UNDER in road games. 6-1 UNDER after scoring 37 points or more last game.

San Diego State Aztecs: 11-3 ATS after 2 straight losses by 17 or more points. 5-1 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game. 38-16 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 19-10 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 

Boise State Broncos:  A. Bolt (WR) Ques Fri - Leg. M. Randolph (OL) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. C. Hogans (LB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. G. Holani (RB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. C. Wright (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. L. Caples (WR) out for season - Leg.

San Diego State Aztecs:  M. Shaw (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed.

“We’re not afraid to make adjustments. It’s whatever’s best for the team. It was nice to have him down there. Obviously, the second half he was able to go back up in the box, and we’ll move forward with what’s best for the team.” - Andy Avalos after his team’s win against North Dakota in their last game.

“There’s no doubt it’s very similar to last week (vs. UCLA). We had some momentum and that’s the thing that stinks. We were moving the ball. We get in the red zone and we don’t get anything out of it. We’ve got to do a better job.” - Brady Hoke after his team’s loss against OR State in their last game. 

WR McAlister, Eric 

WR Bowens, Billy  

WR Cobbs, Stefan  

TE Smith, Riley 

QB Green, Taylen 

RB Holani, George

WR Nicholson, Joshua 

WR Wesley II, Phillippe   

WR Shaw, Mekhi 

TE Redman, Mark 

QB Mayden, Jalen 

RB Christon, Kenan 

FB Kemp, Leo 

Passing: T. Green (576)

Rushing: A. Jeanty (202)

Receiving: E. McAlister (238)

Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (6)

Passing: J. Mayden (703)

Rushing: J. Armstead (193)

Receiving: M. Redman (178)

Touchdowns: M. Redman (2)

Coaches:

Boise State Broncos: Andy Avalos (3rd season)

San Diego State Aztecs: Brady Hoke (4th season)