Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/08/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, March 8, 2024

Venue:  Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  BSU +6.5, SDSU -6.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  BSU +6.5, SDSU -6.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  BSU +6.5, SDSU -6.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points

Boise State Broncos:  21-9 (12-5) (3rd place, MWC)

San Diego State Aztecs:  22-8 (11-6) (5th place, MWC)

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Boise State Broncos:  4-1  last 5

San Diego State Aztecs:  3-2  last 5

Boise State is entering this game with a 21-9 record overall, a 12-5 record in conference games, and they are 6-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Nevada Wolf Pack in their last game. Tyson Degenhart and Max Rice each led the team in points per game in that game with 15 while O'Mar Stanley and Chibuzo Agbo each were next on the team with 9. Max Rice led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Tyson Degenhart led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 41.7% from the field, 26.1% from 3-point range, and 69% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.9 PPG against them. Boise State has an ATS record of 15-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-13.

San Diego State is entering this game with a 22-8 record overall, an 11-6 conference record, and they are 14-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the UNLV Rebels in their last game. Elijah Saunders led the team in points in that game with 14 while Jaedon LeDee was next on the team with 12. Darrion Trammell led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Jaedon LeDee and Jay Pal each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 28.1% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.8 PPG against them. San Diego State has an ATS record of 12-16 this season and their O/U record is 13-15.

The current betting odds have San Diego State listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. San Diego State has looked really good in their games this season with their 22-8 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked good in the Mountain West Conference this season with their 11-6 conference record which has them near the top. They have looked a lot better on their home court though with their 14-0 home record. Meanwhile, Boise State has also looked really good in their games this season with their 21-9 record overall and their 12-5 conference record which has them right near the top. They have also been a good road team with their 6-3 road record this season, but as good as they have been lately, they just lost their last game at home to Nevada and with that they lost a lot of their momentum too. San Diego State also lost their last one against UNLV but that loss was on the road where they haven't been as good this year and they will be looking to bounce back in a big way at home to finish the regular season. This is also a big game for San Diego State since it is a really tight race at the top of the conference for seeding so they will be motivated to win this last game and get the highest seed they can going into the MWC Tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on San Diego State to cover the spread in this game. 

Boise State San Diego State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Friday, March 8, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is San Diego State 76 Boise State 63.

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Boise State Broncos: 11-6 ATS against conference opponents. 20-11 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more. 9-3 ATS after 5 straight games forcing the opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. 20-12 UNDER as an underdog. 7-4 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite.

San Diego State Aztecs: 6-14 ATS after playing a game as favorite. 1-5 ATS after a game committing 8 or less turnovers. 1-6 ATS after 4 straight games forcing the opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. 34-16 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 35-22 UNDER against conference opponents. 10-4 UNDER off a road loss.

Boise State Broncos:  None.

San Diego State Aztecs:  None.

"Steve (Aflord) has them playing great, McIntosh had the chance to start a few games and now is coming off the bench with a rhythm. They're an interesting story because they came into the league as one of the worst three-point shooting teams to now arguably the best in the league. They played a great game today and that's what's needed to win in this conference." - Leon Rice after his team’s loss against Nevada in their last game on Tuesday.

“It was a lot of their tenacity to start the game. You could tell they were ready to play. Their pressure was throwing us off. We couldn’t run our offense, but as the game went on, we started to settle in.” - Elijah Saunders after their loss against UNLV in their last game on Tuesday.

C. Agbo 

R. Anderson 

T. Degenhart 

M. Rice 

O. Stanley

L. Butler 

R. Dixon-Waters 

J. Ledee 

M. Parrish 

E. Saunders

PPG: T. Degenhart (16.9)

APG: C. Martin (2.5)

Reb/G: O. Stanley (6.4)

PPG: J. Ledee (20.5)

APG: D. Trammell (3.1)

Reb/G: J. Ledee (8.3)

Coaches:

Boise State Broncos: Leon Rice (14th season)

San Diego State Aztecs: Brian Dutcher (7th season)