by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Saturday, Oct 30, 2021
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue: Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium, Fort Collins, CO
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: BSU -2.5, CSU +2.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: BSU -2.5, CSU +2.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: BSU -2.5, CSU +2.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Season Record
Boise State Broncos: 3-4 (4th place, MW Mountain)
Colorado State Rams: 3-4 (2nd place, MW Mountain)
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Boise State Broncos vs Colorado State Rams Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Boise State Broncos: lost at home on Oct. 16 against the Air Force Falcons 24-17.
Colorado State Rams: lost on the road on Oct. 22 against the Utah State Aggies 26-24.
Boise State Broncos Analysis
BSU is coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup this year and they are already behind the mark with a 1-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the Utah State Aggies while their 2 losses came against the Nevada Wolf Pack and against AFA in their last game. That was a close game that was within reach the entire time but they did not have enough in them to catch up and win that game. Hank Bachmeier played alright in that game but he also struggled at times as he completed 23/36 passes for 259 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Andrew Van Buren led the team in rushing with 58 yards and 1 touchdown but they did not get much of a run game going in that one. Stefan Cobbs led the receivers with 83 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions while Khalil Shakir had 75 yards on 4 receptions. Riley Whimpey led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Scott Matlock led the defense in sacks with 2 while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 206 points in their 7 games this season averaging 29.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 155 points against them allowing 22.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 368.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 407.4 YPG.
Colorado State Rams Analysis
CSU is coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 1-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in a good position right now with a 2-1 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 wins came against the San Jose State Spartans and the New Mexico Lobos while their 1 win came against USU in their last game. That was a very close game that CSU lost by 2 points after falling behind in the second quarter and making a late comeback in the fourth quarter but it was not enough to get the win in that game. Todd Centeio played alright but he struggled at times in that game as he completed 18/29 passes for 282 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. David Bailey had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 159 yards and 2 touchdowns on 30 carries but was basically their entire running game in that one. Gary Williams led the receivers with 80 yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions while Dante Wright had 71 yards on 4 receptions. Dequan Jackson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 7 assisted ones. Scott Patchan, Manny Jones, and Mohamed Kamara all led the team in sacks with 1.5 in that game while Cam'ron Carter was the only player to come away with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 172 points in their 7 games this season averaging 24.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 143 points against them allowing 20.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 407.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 295.3 YPG.
Boise State vs Colorado State Prediction
CSU is coming into this game as a 2.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have been more consistent in their games this season than BSU has been, especially in their conference games. CSU was very close to being 3-0 in conference games after their last game but just fell short while BSU won their first conference game of the year and have lost 2 straight since. CSU is just playing better right now so the best bet to place in this game is on CSU to cover the spread here and win the game straight up on the moneyline.
Boise State Colorado State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is CSU 21 BSU 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Boise State Broncos: 18-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 161-120 ATS in all games. 130-104 ATS as a favorite. 58-42 ATS as a road favorite. 77-51 ATS in road games. 100-76 ATS against conference opponents.
Colorado State Rams: 127-132 O/U in all games. 64-82 O/U as an underdog. 17-24 O/U as a home underdog.
Key Injuries
Boise State Broncos: K. Holomalia-Gonzalez (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. K. Freeborn (NT) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. A. Kelemete (DE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Colorado State Rams: A. Vivens (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. M. Valecce (QB) out for season - Lower Body injury. L. Crump (DB) out for season - Upper Body injury.
Notable Quotes
“Mentality always starts with a purpose. We’re resetting the vision of what that looks like, and the work it takes to be a consistent team.” - Andy Avalos on his team’s mental strength coming into this game.
“Playing with a full crowd has been great, and everything that we were missing last year is what we have now.” - Toby McBride on getting to play in front of their fans this year as opposed to last year.
Starting Lineups
Boise State Broncos
WR Evans, Octavius
WR Cobbs, Stefan
WR Shakir, Khalil
TE Smith, Riley
QB Bachmeier, Hank
RB Holani, George
Colorado State Rams
WR Wright, Dante
WR McCullouch, Ty
TE McBride, Trey
TE Butler, Cam
QB Centeio, Todd
RB Bailey, David
Statistical Leaders
Boise State Broncos
Passing: H. Bachmeier (1951)
Rushing: A. Van Buren (189)
Receiving: K. Shakir (659)
Touchdowns: A. Van Buren (6)
Colorado State Rams
Passing: T. Centeio (1610)
Rushing: D. Bailey (477)
Receiving: T. McBride (637)
Touchdowns: D. Bailey (6)
Coaches:
Boise State Broncos: Andy Avalos (1st season)
Colorado State Rams: Steve Addazio (2nd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
