Betting on Bad Teams in the CFL

by Al McMordie

Thursday, Jul 03, 2025
The Canadian Football League season enters its 2nd month, and all but one team has won a game this season.  The lone winless team?  Edmonton, which is 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS.  

A lot of punters stay away from betting on bad teams.  But in certain instances, it can be profitable.  Let's take a look at how winless teams have fared in the CFL.

Since 2006, there have been 134 games involving a winless team, with an 0-1 (or worse) record, against an opponent which had won at least one game.  And our winless teams have been profitable, going 73-59-2 ATS.

That record is good for 55.3%.  But we always look to tighten our systems with the addition of other variables.  And there are two important tighteners for this particular system. The first one we will add is to take teams that are off a point spread loss, and eliminate teams off point spread wins or ties.  With that additional factor applied, we improve our 73-59-2 record to 59-43-2 ATS (57.8%).  

Edmonton has started 0-3 SU/ATS so it falls into our 59-43-2 ATS angle.  However, our 2nd tightener would not include the Elks as a play this week.  Let's take a look at this 2nd tightener.  We can improve our 59-43-2 ATS system to 22-4-1 ATS (84.6%) by only playing on underdogs of +6.5 (or more) points.  Keep an eye on Edmonton, as it might fall into this 22-4-1 angle on July 25 at Saskatchewan, if it continues to lose.

Good luck, as always,
Al McMordie

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2025 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.