Belmont Bruins vs Murray State Racers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/24/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Feb 23, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Thursday, February 24, 2022
Venue:  CFSB Center, Murray, KY
Where to Watch:  ESPNU

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Belmont +3, Murray State -3; Over/Under:  144 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Belmont +2.5, Murray State -2.5; Over/Under:  144.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Belmont +2.5, Murray State -2.5; Over/Under:  144.5 points
 

Season Record

Belmont Bruins:  24-5 (2nd place, OVC)
Murray State Racers:  26-2 (1st place, OVC)
 
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Belmont Bruins vs Murray State Racers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Belmont Bruins:  5-0 last 5
Murray State Racers:  5-0 last 5
 
 
 

Belmont Bruins Analysis

Belmont is coming into this game with a 24-5 record overall and they are 10-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 17th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 14-2 in their conference games this season. They have won 11 of their last 12 games and they are coming into this one on a 10 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Morehead State Eagles while their last 5 wins came against the Austin Peay Governors, the Morehead State Eagles, the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, the Eastern Illinois Panthers, and the SIU Edwardsville Cougars in their last game. Ben Sheppard led the team in points in that game with 20 while Nick Muszynski and Will Richard were both next on the team with 18 points each. Richard led the team in assists in that game with 5 while he and Grayson Murphy both led the team in rebounds with 6 each. They are 49.5% from the field, 33.9% from 3-point range, and 74.3% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 80.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.5 PPG against them. Belmont has an ATS record of 14-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 12-16.
 
 

Murray State Racers Analysis

Murray State is coming into this game with a 26-2 record overall and they are 14-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 17th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 16-0 in their conference games this season. Their last loss was against the Auburn Tigers but they have gone on a 16 game winning streak since then with their last 5 wins coming against the SIU Edwardsville Cougars, the Tennessee State Tigers, the Morehead State Eagles, the Austin Peay Governors, and the UT Martin Skyhawks in their last game. Tevin Brown led the team in points in that game with 18 while KJ Williams was next on the team with 16 points. Justice Hill led the team in assists in that game with 5 while KJ Williams led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 33.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 62.2 PPG against them. Murray State has an ATS record of 15-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 10-15.
 

 

Belmont vs Murray State Prediction

Belmont is coming into this game playing very well in their recent games as they are currently on a 10 game winning streak. They are on the road for this game but they have been very good in those games this season as they are 10-3 on the road and they are 14-2 against conference opponents as well. One of those two losses actually came against this Murray State team who is 16-0 against conference opponents this season and have also been playing very well with a 14-0 home record. Their streak is even longer as they are on a 16 game winning streak but Belmont has few losses to conference opponents and they will surely have this game circled on their calendar. Belmont lost one other game to conference opponents and that was to Morehead State but they recently beat them and got their revenge. Belmont will be hungry to do the same here and they will likely not win this game by much but they have been just as good this season and should come away with a very slim win here.
 
Belmont Murray State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, February 24, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Belmont 72 Murray State 70.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Belmont Bruins: 3-10 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 0-6 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins. 23-15 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.
Murray State Racers: 22-7 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 23-7 ATS in all home games. 28-8 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Belmont Bruins:  None.
Murray State Racers:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“It was the ugliest best game of all time. Dog fight, street fight. It was just an exhausting game.” - Casey Alexander after a win against Morehead State.
 
 
“We’ve had some really good players — Ja Morant, Jonathan Stark, Shaq Buchanan, Tevin Brown, KJ Williams — and you just go on down the line. We’ve been fortunate to coach some of the best-ever to wear the blue and gold.” - Matt McMahon on the prestige of the Murray State program.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Belmont Bruins
G. Murphy 
N. Muszynski 
W. Richard 
B. Sheppard 
Luke Smith
 
Murray State Racers
T. Brown 
D. Burns 
C. Collins 
J. Hill 
K. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Belmont Bruins
PPG: N. Muszynski (16.4)
APG: G. Murphy (6)
Reb/G: G. Murphy (6.2)
 
Murray State Racers
PPG: K. Williams (17.6)
APG: J. Hill (5.1)
Reb/G: K. Williams (8.6)
 
Coaches
Belmont Bruins: Casey Alexander (3rd season)
Murray State Racers: Matt McMahon (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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