Baylor Bears vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/29/2022

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 29, 2022

Venue:  Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX 

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Baylor +2.5, TTU -2.5; Over/Under:  62.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Baylor +2.5, TTU -2.5; Over/Under:  62.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Baylor +2.5, TTU -2.5; Over/Under:  62.5 points

 

Baylor Bears:  4-3 (2-2) (5th place, Big 12)

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  4-3 (2-2) (6th place, Big 12)

 

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Baylor Bears:  won their last game at home against the Kansas Jayhawks 35-23.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  won their last game at home against the West Virginia Mountaineers 48-10.

 

Baylor is entering this game with a 4-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 1-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 5th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 2-2. They won against the Kansas Jayhawks in their last game at home 35-23. Blake Shapen started that game at QB and he completed 17/26 passes for 164 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Richard Reese led the team in rushing with 186 yards and 2 TDs on 31 rushing attempts. Hal Presley led the team in receiving with 39 yards on 3 receptions. Dillon Doyle and Devin Neal each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Al Walcott led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Texas Tech is entering this game with a 4-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 4-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 5th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 2-2. They won against the West Virginia Mountaineers in their last game at home 48-10. Behren Morton started that game at QB and he completed 28/45 passes for 325 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tahj Brooks led the team in rushing with 107 yards and 2 TDs on 17 carries. Xavier White led the team in receiving with 139 yards and 1 TD on 8 receptions. Marquis Waters led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Kosi Eldridge and Tyree Wilson each led the defense in sacks with 0.5 while Dadrion Taylor, Rayshad Williams, and Malik Dunlap each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas Tech listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas Tech has been a very inconsistent team this year with some of their losses coming by double digits and some of their wins coming by double digits too, but this team is still undefeated at home and they are going to put up a fight against a struggling Baylor team here. Baylor hasn't been great in their conference play lately and they have been bad on the road with losses in 2 of their 3 road games. Texas Tech has won some close games at home this year but they have also beaten some good teams and after losing to this team last season, they will be coming for their revenge here. Texas Tech is also supposed to be getting their starting QB back for this game and they have been great on offense in their home games this season. Baylor has been good but their defense hasn't been as good as in previous years and their offense will have a tough time keeping with the points Texas Tech will score here. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas Tech to cover the spread in this game.

 

Baylor Texas Tech Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 29, 2022 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 45 Baylor 38.

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Baylor Bears: 18-11 ATS in all games. 25-17 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 20-14 OVER after a cover as a double digit favorite.

Texas Tech Red Raiders: 0-7 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 2-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 24-11 OVER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63.

 

 

Baylor Bears:  C. Williams (RB) Ques Sat - Head. T. McWilliams (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  D. Lewis II (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. B. Ramirez (LB) Out indefinitely - Leg. C. Spencer (OL) out for season - Knee.

 

 

"The mindset was start fast. That's kind of a glimpse of who we can be, and we're still just scratching and clawing and fighting to be there. ... It's elusive though" - Dave Aranda after his team’s win against Kansas in their last game.

 

 

"I was proud of this team for bouncing back. I was really proud of the way they responded, how fast we played. I thought they showed what kind of shape our guys are in." - Joey McGuire after his team’s win against WVU in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Holmes, Gavin

WR Presley, Hal

WR Baldwin, Monaray 

TE Dabney, Drake 

TE Sims, Ben 

QB Shapen, Blake 

RB Reese, Richard 

 

WR Bradley, Jerand

WR Fouonji, Loic 

WR White, Xavier

WR Price, Myles 

TE Teeter, Henry

QB Morton, Behren

RB Thompson, SaRodorick 

 

 

Passing: B. Shapen (1608)

Rushing: R. Reese (643)

Receiving: G. Holmes (397)

Touchdowns: R. Reese (9)

 

Passing: D. Smith (1506)

Rushing: S. Thompson (369)

Receiving: X. White (409)

Touchdowns: T. Brooks (7) 

 

Coaches:

Baylor Bears: Dave Aranda (3rd season)

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Joey McGuire (1st season)