by Chuck Sommers
Sunday, Nov 20, 2022
Time: Noon ET
Venue: DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Texas -7.5
FanDuel: Texas -7.5
BetMGM: Texas -8.5
Caesars: Texas -7.5
Season record
Baylor: 6-5 (4-4 Big 12)
Texas: 7-4 (5-3 Big 12)
The college football fun never stops and we're inching closer to conference championship season. A lot of big games are still to be determined in who will play whom and where, and our top-notch handicappers have been at the forefront for the last month or so providing you with the winners you need to head into December with some confidence in your pocket. How can you be so sure? Of course you have to look at the likes of Kyle Hunter going 20-8-0 over the last 30 days, as well as Will Rogers at 22-14-0 over the last month. What about Vegas Writer? He's sitting at 12-6-1 over the last 30 days since joining our team of champion handicappers that has been killing it everywhere this year. You see the success rate. You need to be on board to join our guys who can get you where you need to go for the homestretch of the college football season. Make sure you're keeping tabs here at bigal.com to find out what our champion handicappers are thinking in all sports!
Baylor - Texas preview, analysis and prediction
Last week
Baylor: lost 29-28 vs. No. 4 TCU
Texas: won 55-14 at Kansas
I do wonder how it feels for either the Baylor bears or the Texas Longhorns to not be the best team in Texas this year. If anybody else would have thought that I think we all would have probably laughed. Instead in the span of two weeks, both of these teams have lost to the best team in Texas which is TCU.
I do wonder how it feels for either the Baylor bears or the Texas Longhorns to not be the best team in Texas this year. If anybody else would have thought that I think we all would have probably laughed. Instead in the span of two weeks, both of these teams have lost to the best team in Texas which is TCU.
And now after a rough couple weeks for both of these programs that once had Big 12 championship aspirations, Baylor and Texas will meet up for the regular season finale inside Austin for what could only be described as the why in the world am I here game?
Baylor nearly shocked the world on Saturday. Everything was right in its grasp. They had played well enough defense to put the game on the leg of a kicker, TCU had no timeouts and they had to rush the field to get a good field goal opportunity off. And in the blink of an eye, it was the greatest kick in college football history because college kickers actually did their job and what they are getting a scholarship for.
Baylor quarterback Blake shapen threw for 269 yards and a touchdown, as well as an interception, Craig Williams ran for 112 yards, and Monaray Baldwin caught six passes for 123 yards. This was a Baylor offense that put up 500 total yards of offense and at one point lead this game 28-20 with 9:47 remaining. and yet somehow baylor's defense ultimately failed itself.
"It's a tough locker room," Baylor coach Dave Aranda said. "I told them that I wish that we, that I, could take the pain away."
Baylor's run last year was in a sense exciting and fun. It had all the makings of a Cinderella ending that only the Big 12 could love. Now that the bears have fallen to 6-5 and have seemingly reduced themselves to some game in the Texas bowl or something like that, we can all move on from what was a disappointing season for Baylor.
I'm not sure we can say the same for Texas. On one hand they are going to a bowl game, on the other hand they lost a number of games to ranked opponents that would have absolutely switched their fortune into a good light. But Texas is ultimately 7-4 and is now basically hoping for any respectable bowl game.
The Longhorns are coming off a 55-14 victory over Kansas in which Bijan Robinson ran for 243 yards and four touchdowns in the victory. If there is any bright spot this year for Texas, it is 100% the play of its star running back.
"We've got a bunch of fighters. We have a great deal of resiliency. These guys have showed an unbelievable amount of perseverance, and I told them that in the locker room," Texas coach Steve Sarkisian said. "I was proud of them. I was very proud of them for the maturity they showed in this game."
Prediction
Normally I would pick the better defense in this situation but quite honestly, we don't really know who has the better defense here. Instead I would go with the home team that has played well at home all year long and it should be able to run all over this Baylor defense for a strong victory. Texas by 17
Betting trends
Baylor is 20-12 ATS in the last 3 seasons.
Baylor is 15-10 ATS in conference games the last 3 years.
The over is 6-1 in Baylor's conference games look like.
Texas is 8-15 ATS against conference opponents the last 3 years.
Statistical leaders
Baylor:
Passing: Blake Shapen -- 2,423 yards, 14 TD, 9 INT
Rushing: Richard Reese -- 908 yards, 14 TD
Receiving: Monaray Baldwin -- 530 yards, 4 TD
Texas:
Passing: Quinn Ewers -- 1,614 yards, 14 TD, 6 INT
Rushing: Bijan Robinson -- 1,401 yards, 16 TD
Receiving: Xavier Worthy -- 614 yards, 9 TD
Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Baylor Bears - Texas Longhorns prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily college football projections and previews.
Chuck Sommers
About the Author:
Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.
