Baylor Bears vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/28/2022

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Monday, February 28, 2022

Venue:  Erwin Events Center, Austin, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Baylor -1.5, Texas +1.5; Over/Under:  134 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Baylor -1.5, Texas +1.5; Over/Under:  134.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Baylor -1.5, Texas +1.5; Over/Under:  134.5 points

 

Baylor Bears:  24-5 (2nd place, Big 12)

Texas Longhorns:  21-8 (4th place, Big 12)

 

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Baylor Bears:  4-1 last 5

Texas Longhorns:  3-2 last 5

 

 

 

Baylor is coming into this game with a 24-5 record overall and they are 7-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 17th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 12-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Texas Tech Red Raiders while their 3 wins since then came against the TCU Horned Frogs, the Oklahoma State Cowboys, and the Kansas Jayhawks in their last game. Flo Thamba led the team in points in that game with 18 while Jeremy Sochan off the bench was next on the team with 17 points. James Akinjo led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Matthew Mayer led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 48.3% from the field, 21.4% from 3-point range, and 80.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 15-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-13-1.

 

 

Texas is coming into this game with a 21-8 record overall and they are 16-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 17th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 10-6 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Texas Tech Red Raiders while their 3 wins in that span came against the Oklahoma Sooners, the TCU Horned Frogs, and the West Virginia Mountaineers in their last game. Timmy Allen led the team in points in that game with 26 while Marcus Carr was next on the team with 15 points. Allen led the team in assists in that game with 3 and he also led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 63.4% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 68.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 58 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 12-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-15.

 

Baylor has been playing very well in their recent games winning 3 straight coming into this one but they have not been playing well on the road. They have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road and all 3 of those losses were against ranked opponents, which they will be facing another one in this game. They are going up against a Texas side that has not been as good as Baylor against conference opponents this season, but they have been great at home with a 16-2 record there and they will be out for revenge after losing by close to 20 points in Baylor earlier this season. Texas does not score a lot of points in their games but their defense is very good and they do not allow many points either. Texas will play well at home and make it difficult for Baylor to score points here. Baylor has struggled against good opponents on the road this season and they will likely continue to struggle in this game as well. Texas will get the win at home here but only by a few points.

 

Baylor Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, February 28, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 67 Baylor 63.

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Baylor Bears: 26-18 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 15-9 ATS as a road favorite or pick. 44-34 OVER after playing a game as favorite.

Texas Longhorns: 33-69 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs. 2-9 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 32-21 OVER against conference opponents.

 

 

Baylor Bears:  L. Cryer (G) Early March - Foot injury. J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua (F) out for season - Knee injury. L. Love (G) out for season - Knee injury.

Texas Longhorns:  T. Mitchell (C) Out indefinitely - Personal.

 

 

“We haven’t lost when we’ve had everybody. “But having everybody, and practicing and being in a rhythm all go hand in hand as well.” - Scott Drew on the importance of keeping his players healthy.

 

 

"We set this game up like an NCAA tournament game — survive and advance. That’s as happy as our locker room has been all year." - Chris Beard on his team’s win against WVU.

 

 

 

J. Akinjo 

K. Brown 

A. Flagler 

M. Mayer 

F. Thamba

 

T. Allen 

C. Bishop

M. Carr  

A. Jones

C. Ramey 

 

 

PPG: A. Flagler (13.7)

APG: J. Akinjo (5.7)

Reb/G: J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua (6.8)

 

PPG: T. Allen (12.4)

APG: M. Carr (3.2)

Reb/G: T. Allen (6.5)

 

Coaches:

Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (19th season)

Texas Longhorns: Chris Beard (1st season)