Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 6, 2021
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Baylor -6.5, TCU +6.5; Over/Under: 59 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Baylor -6.5, TCU +6.5; Over/Under: 59 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Baylor -6.5, TCU +6.5; Over/Under: 58.5 points
Baylor Bears: 7-1 (3rd place, Big 12)
TCU Horned Frogs: 3-5 (9th place, Big 12)
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Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs Preview and Analysis
Baylor Bears: won at home on Oct. 30 against the Texas Longhorns 31-24.
TCU Horned Frogs: lost on the road on Oct. 30 against the Kansas State Wildcats 31-12.
Baylor Bears Analysis
Baylor is coming into this contest with a 7-1 record overall and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are in a great spot right now with a 4-1 record in their conference games this season. They are coming into this game on a 3 game winning streak after beating Texas in their last game. They won that game 31-24 in a game that they trailed for most of the time but made a fourth quarter comeback and took the lead late winning the game. Gerry Bohanon did not have a good game as he completed 18/31 passes for 222 yards and 2 interceptions. Tyquan Thornton completed 1/1 pass for 6 yards and the only touchdown pass for them in that game. Abram Smith led the team in rushing with 113 yards and 1 touchdown on 20 carries while Trestan Ebner had 66 yards on 12 carries. Bohanon and Ben Sims each scored 1 TD on the ground in that game. R.J. Sneed led the receivers with 94 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions while Thornton had 54 yards on 5 receptions. Dillon Doyle led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Siaki Ika and Jalen Pitre both had 1 sack each in that game while JT Woods came away with the only interception for them in that game. They have scored 299 points in their 8 games this season averaging 37.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 155 points against them allowing 19.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 471.9 YPG and their defense is allowing 336.6 YPG.
TCU Horned Frogs Analysis
TCU is coming into this game with a 3-5 record overall and they are 2-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in a massive hole with a 1-4 record in their conference games this season. They are coming into this game on a 3 game losing streak after losing to KSU in their last game. They were dominated from start to finish in that game as KSU took an early lead in the first quarter and never looked back running away with that game. Chandler Morris did not play that well as he completed 9/14 passes for 111 yards and Max Duggan was not any better as he completed 9/13 passes for 73 yards. Kendre Miller had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 102 yards on 14 carries. Derius Davis led the receivers with 96 total yards on 5 receptions. Jamoi Hodge led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones along with 1 sack as well. He and Ochaun Mathis both had the only sacks for them in that game with 1 each while TJ Carter came away with the only interception for them in that game. They have scored 252 points in their 8 games this season averaging 31.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 252 points against them allowing 31.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 450.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 451.3 YPG.
Baylor vs TCU Prediction
Baylor is coming into this game as a 6.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have been playing very well this season and have quietly made their way up to a top 3 spot in the Big 12 with only 1 loss on the season. TCU played very badly in their last game getting smashed by KSU but this has been an ongoing theme for them recently and they have been playing very bad in their games. It took a lot for Baylor to come back late in their last game against Texas and they still won that game by 7 points. The best bet to place in this game is on Baylor to cover the spread here as they are playing much better.
Baylor TCU Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 6, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Baylor 34 TCU 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Baylor Bears: 164-169 ATS in all games. 72-76 ATS in road games. 116-125 ATS against conference opponents. 108-126 ATS after playing a conference game. 44-57 ATS in November games.
TCU Horned Frogs: 176-174 ATS in all games. 23-21 ATS as a home underdog. 86-81 ATS in home games. 121-116 ATS against conference opponents. 121-111 ATS after playing a conference game. 55-44 ATS in November games.
Baylor Bears: None.
TCU Horned Frogs: J. Spielman (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed injury. B. Clark (S) out for season - Undisclosed injury. M. Barkley (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
“We got some adversity. It didn’t start off the way we wanted it to. We knew we had to finish strong. We had to come out and be the team we knew we were.” - Abram Smith on their comeback win over Texas.
"Max hasn't been able to do a lot of stuff in practice. We just finally, running-wise, needed someone that could get out and get going. That's what we needed." - Gary Patterson on their loss to KSU.
WR Thornton, Tyquan
WR Sneed, R.J.
WR Fleeks, Josh
TE Sims, Ben
QB Bohanon, Gerry
RB Ebner, Trestan
TCU Horned Frogs
WR Brown, Quincy
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Davis, Derius
WR Conwright, Blair
TE DiNunzio, Dominic
QB Duggan, Max
RB Evans, Zach
Passing: G. Bohanon (1790)
Rushing: A. Smith (898)
Receiving: T. Thornton (601)
Touchdowns: A. Smith (11)
TCU Horned Frogs
Passing: M. Duggan (1666)
Rushing: Z. Evans (648)
Receiving: Q. Johnston (473)
Touchdowns: K. Miller (6)
Baylor Bears: Dave Aranda (2nd season)
TCU Horned Frogs: Gary Patterson (22nd season)