Baylor Bears vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/26/2024

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Monday, February 26, 2024

Venue:  Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Baylor +3, TCU -3; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Baylor +3, TCU -3; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Baylor +3, TCU -3; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Baylor Bears:  19-8 (8-6) (4th place, Big 12)

TCU Horned Frogs:  19-8 (8-6) (5th place, Big 12)

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Baylor Bears:  2-3  last 5

TCU Horned Frogs:  3-2  last 5

Baylor is entering this game with a 19-8 record overall, an 8-6 record in conference games, and they are 3-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Houston Cougars in their last game. Ja'Kobe Walter led the team in points per game in that game with 23 while RayJ Dennis was next on the team with 21. RayJ Dennis and Jayden Nunn each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Jalen Bridges led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 43.6% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.4 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 15-9-2 this season and their O/U record is 14-12.

TCU is entering this game with a 19-8 record overall, an 8-6 conference record, and they are 12-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Cincinnati Bearcats in their last game. Emanuel Miller and JaKobe Coles each led the team in points in that game with 18 while Avery Anderson III and Jameer Nelson Jr. each were next on the team with 9. Emanuel Miller led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Emanuel Miller, Jameer Nelson Jr, and Essam Mostafa each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 44.8% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 93.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.8 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 17-10 this season and their O/U record is 14-13.

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU has looked really good in their games this season with their 19-8 record overall and their 8-6 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big 12 this season. They have also looked really good on their home court with their 12-2 home record. Meanwhile, Baylor has also looked good in their games this season with their 19-8 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have also been good in the Big 12 with their 8-6 conference record, but they haven't looked as good in their games lately and they have struggled a lot more in their road games this season with their 3-4 road record. They are only 2-3 in their last 5 games too and they aren't going to have a lot of momentum after the way they lost to Houston on their home court in their last game. TCU has been a really good home team all season and they can take advantage of the way Baylor has been playing in their games lately. TCU also has more momentum on their side here as they are coming off a big win against Cincinnati in their last one. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

Baylor TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, February 26, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 79 Baylor 71.

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Baylor Bears: 1-7 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 1-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 29-11 OVER as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 6-1 OVER off 2 straight losses against conference rivals. 10-1 OVER after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals.

TCU Horned Frogs: 27-19 ATS in all home games. 10-4 ATS against conference opponents. 6-0 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 21-11 OVER after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games. 31-22 OVER after a game where they covered the spread.

Baylor Bears:  L. Love (G) Ques Mon - Knee. Y. Ndjonga (F) out for season - Knee.

TCU Horned Frogs:  E. Udeh Jr. (C) Ques Mon - Undisclosed.

“We just felt like they brought it to us in the first half. They’re easily the most physical team that we’ve played so far and I feel like we were a little bit taken back. And we just came out in the second half trying to punch them back.” - Jalen Bridges after their loss against Houston in their last game on Saturday.

“It’s all up to him now.” - Jamie Dixon on the injury to Ernest Udeh.

J. Bridges 

R. Dennis 

Y. Missi 

J. Nunn 

J. Walter

A. Anderson 

E. Miller 

M. Peavy 

T. Tennyson 

E. Udeh

PPG: J. Walter (14.7)

APG: R. Dennis (6.6)

Reb/G: Y. Missi (5.7)

PPG: E. Miller (16.1)

APG: A. Anderson III (3.6)

Reb/G: E. Miller (5.9)

Coaches:

Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (21st season)

TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (8th season)