Baylor Bears vs St John's Red Storm Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/21/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, November 21, 2024

Venue:  Baha Mar Convention Center, Nassau, The Bahamas

Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Baylor -1.5, St John’s +1.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Baylor -1.5, St John’s +1.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Baylor -1.5, St John’s +1.5; Over/Under:  152.5 points

Baylor Bears:  3-1 (0-0) (12th place, Big 12)

St John's Red Storm:  4-0 (0-0) (7th place, Big East)

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Baylor Bears:  3-1  last 4

St John's Red Storm:  4-0  last 4

Baylor is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall, a 0-0 record in conference games, and they are 1-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Tarleton State Texans in their last game. Jalen Celestine led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while V. J. Edgecombe was next on the team with 17. Robert O. Wright III led the team in assists with 9 in that game while Norchad Omier led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.7% from the field, 46.9% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 3-1 this season and their O/U record is 3-1.

St John’s is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall, a 0-0 conference record, and they are 0-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the New Mexico Lobos in their last game. RJ Luis Jr. led the team in points in that game with 21 while Deivon Smith was next on the team with 15. RJ Luis Jr. led the team in assists with 7 in that game while RJ Luis Jr. led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 50% from the field, 22.2% from 3-point range, and 65% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 62.2 PPG against them. St John’s has an ATS record of 3-1 this season and their O/U record is 2-2.

The current betting odds have St John's listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. St John's has looked great in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall which has them keeping pace with the other undefeated teams still in the Big East. They are coming off a big win against New Mexico in their last one and they are finally ranked in the top 25 so they will be looking to keep that ranking with a statement win here. Meanwhile, Baylor has looked good in their games this season with their 3-1 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the Big 12 with that 1 loss already. Baylor os still ranked as one of the best teams in the country since their loss came against Gonzaga who is also a highly ranked team, but that loss was also pretty bad with Baylor losing by almost 40 points and looking like they didn't even show up for the game. Now this game is going to be at a tournament in The Bahamas and Baylor has already shown how they struggle with stronger opponents. St John's is ranked, but they are still looking to prove a point here, especially since Pitino's first season didn't live up to expectations. St John's is going to bring their best effort in this tournament as this is a great opportunity for them to make a statement against some good teams in the nation. The best way to place a bet here is on St John's to cover the spread in this game. 

Baylor St John's Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, November 21, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is St John’s 82 Baylor 78.

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Baylor Bears: 4-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 4-9 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less. 4-8 1H ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 8-4 OVER as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 15-6 OVER after a win by 15 points or more. 9-3 OVER in all tournament games.

St John's Red Storm: 7-2 ATS in all tournament games. 8-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more. 11-6 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 17-10 OVER as an underdog. 23-17 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 10-6 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Baylor Bears:  None.

St John's Red Storm:  None.

“I think one of the coolest things was seeing the guys drench him with water and just celebrate his thousandth point. That’s a great honor, but you can tell how much the team really respects him and loves him by the way they were happy for him and celebrated with him.” - Scott Drew on Jayden Nunn after his team’s win against Tarleton State in their last game. 

“OK, he’s my son so I’m going to brag on him: He is a great young coach. Great young coach. His offensive mind is brilliant. He puts you in situations that really hurt you defensively. He’s got a great team this year. He does it with all new players, different players. He’s one of the bright young offensive minds in the game today. So, he’s a lot different than me. He handles losing much better than me.” - Rick Pitino after his team’s win against UNM in their last game. 

V. Edgecombe 

J. Nunn 

J. Ojianwuna 

N. Omier 

J. Roach

Z. Ejiofor 

R. Luis 

K. Richmond 

A. Scott 

S. Wilcher

PPG: N. Omier (13.3)

APG: R. Wright (5.8)

Reb/G: N. Omier (10)

PPG: R. Luis (17.5)

APG: K. Richmond (5.8)

Reb/G: R. Luis (7.8)

Coaches:

Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (22nd season)

St John's Red Storm: Rick Pitino (2nd season)