Baylor Bears vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/05/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Nov 02, 2022
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 5, 2022
Venue:  Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Where to Watch:  ESPN+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Baylor +3.5, Oklahoma -3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Baylor +3.5, Oklahoma -3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Baylor +3.5, Oklahoma -3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points
 

Season Record

Baylor Bears:  5-3 (3-2) (4th place, Big 12)
Oklahoma Sooners:  5-3 (2-3) (7th place, Big 12)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a RUN of 35-10 last 45 NCAAF Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
 
Recent Form
Baylor Bears:  won their last game on the road against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 45-17.
Oklahoma Sooners:  won their last game on the road against the Iowa State Cyclones 27-13.

 

Baylor Bears vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis

 
Baylor is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th road game of the season here as they are 2-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 6th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 3-2. They won against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in their last game on the road 45-17. Blake Shapen started that game at QB and he completed 19/30 passes for 211 yards and 1 touchdown. Richard Reese led the team in rushing with 148 yards and 3 TDs on 36 rushing attempts. Gavin Holmes led the team in receiving with 77 yards on 5 receptions. Al Walcott led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Gabe Hall led the defense in sacks with 3 while Al Walcott, Devin Lemear, AJ McCarty, and Mark Milton each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Oklahoma is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 3-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 6th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 2-3. They won against the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game on the road 27-13. Dillon Gabriel started that game at QB and he completed 15/26 passes for 148 yards and 1 touchdown. Eric Gray led the team in rushing with 101 yards and 1 TD on 20 carries. Jalil Farooq led the team in receiving with 74 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. DaShaun White led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles. Jordan Kelley led the defense in sacks with 1 while Woodi Washington, Danny Stutsman, and Justin Broiles each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

Baylor vs Oklahoma Prediction

The current betting odds have Baylor listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Baylor just pulled off a big upset win over Texas Tech in their last road game and they have been playing a lot better on offense in their games. Baylor is 2-2 on the road this season and have been tested plenty in their road games. Oklahoma is sure not the team they used to be since Lincoln Riley left for USC. This offense has not been the same under Brent Venables as they have not been putting up nearly as many points in their games this season and their defense was supposed to be a big strength of theirs but even that has been bad giving up a ton of points. Oklahoma has even struggled a bit in recent years with Baylor and Baylor is just the better team this year. The best way to place a bet here is on Baylor to cover the spread in this game.
 
Baylor Oklahoma Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 5, 2022 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Baylor 38 Oklahoma 28.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Baylor Bears Oklahoma Sooners prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Baylor Bears: 2-10 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. 31-23 OVER after a win by 21 or more points. 28-21 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread.
Oklahoma Sooners: 12-4 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 23-16 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 13-7 OVER when playing with 6 or less days rest.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baylor Bears:  D. Dabney (TE) out for season - Leg. C. Williams (RB) Ques Sat - Head. T. McWilliams (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Oklahoma Sooners:  E. Gray (RB) Ques Sat - Leg. J. Barnes (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Whitter (LB) out for season - Shoulder.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think offensively what Tech was doing really stresses you. There's a fair amount of creativity with their tempo. I credit the players because they went out and really had a chip on their shoulder and played with an edge." - Dave Aranda after his team’s win against Texas Tech in their last game.
 
 
"We capitalized situationally. Our kicking game, again, was a real weapon for us." - Brent Venables after his team’s win against ISU in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baylor Bears
WR Presley, Hal
WR Holmes, Gavin
WR Baldwin, Monaray 
TE Dabney, Drake 
TE Sims, Ben 
QB Shapen, Blake 
RB Reese, Richard 
 
Oklahoma Sooners
WR Wease, Theo
WR Farooq, Jalil
WR Mims, Marvin 
TE Willis, Brayden
QB Gabriel, Dillon
RB Gray, Eric 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baylor Bears
Passing: B. Shapen (1819)
Rushing: R. Reese (791)
Receiving: G. Holmes (474)
Touchdowns: R. Reese (12)
 
Oklahoma Sooners
Passing: D. Gabriel (1766)
Rushing: E. Gray (796)
Receiving: M. Mims (558)
Touchdowns: E. Gray (6)
 
Coaches:
Baylor Bears: Dave Aranda (3rd season)
Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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