Baylor Bears vs Houston Cougars Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/04/2026

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Venue:  Fertitta Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Baylor +15.5, Houston -15.5; Over/Under:  144.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Baylor +15.5, Houston -15.5; Over/Under:  144.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Baylor +15.5, Houston -15.5; Over/Under:  144.5 points

Baylor Bears:  15-14 (5-11) (13th place, Big 12)

Houston Cougars:  24-5 (12-4) (2nd place, Big 12)

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Baylor Bears:  2-3  last 5

Houston Cougars:  2-3  last 5

Baylor is entering this game with a 15-14 record overall, a 5-11 record in conference games, and they are 3-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the UCF Knights in their last game. Cameron Carr led the team in points in that game with 26 while Dan Skillings Jr. was next on the team with 15. Obi Agbim led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Tounde Yessoufou led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.9% from the field, 39.1% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 12-16 this season and their O/U record is 15-13.

Houston is entering this game with a 24-5 record overall, a 12-4 conference record, and they are 14-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Colorado Buffaloes in their last game. Milos Uzan led the team in points in that game with 26 while Joseph Tugler was next on the team with 14. Kingston Flemings led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Mercy Miller led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 59.6% from the field, 58.8% from 3-point range, and 77.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 62.3 PPG against them. Houston has an ATS record of 15-14 this season and their O/U record is 12-17.

The current betting odds have Houston listed as a 15.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Houston has looked really good in their games this season with their 24-5 record overall and their 12-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have looked great on their home court too with their 14-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Baylor hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 15-14 record overall and their 5-11 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the Big 12. They haven't been a good road team either with their 3-6 road record this year. Baylor is off a nice road win over UCF in their last one, but they haven't looked that good lately. They are only 2-3 in their last 5 games and they have had trouble against better teams in the Big 12 all season. Now they are facing one of the best teams in the conference and Houston is going to be in desperate need of a get right game. Houston has been going through a really tough part of their schedule lately and they haven't looked that great, going 2-3 in their last 5 games, but they finally got a breather with a big win over Colorado in their last one and they will be looking to gain some momentum here by stringing together some wins again. Houston only has the 1 home loss all season which was against Arizona, one of the best teams in the entire nation, but they have been crushing opponents on their home court all year. Look for Houston to continue rolling in this one and take advantage of a Baylor team that has struggled against the top of the Big 12 all season. The best way to place a bet here is on Houston to cover the spread in this game. 

Baylor Houston Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 4, 2026 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Houston 78 Baylor 54.

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Baylor Bears: 6-12 ATS as a road underdog or pick. 8-16 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 6-11 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 13-6 UNDER as a road underdog or pick. 6-3 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival.

Houston Cougars: 29-18 ATS in all home games. 36-23 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 9-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game. 33-16 UNDER as a home favorite or pick. 29-18 UNDER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Baylor Bears:  M. Perez (F) Out - Knee. M. Soyoye (C) Out - Redshirt. J. White (G) Questionable - Foot. J. Bodo Bodo (C) Questionable - Arm. A. Iguodala (G-F) Out - Redshirt.

Houston Cougars:  K. Jefferson (G) Out - Knee. B. Jackson (G) Out - Redshirt.

“I’m proud as a coach because on the road its hard, but when you have a lead and lose it a lot of teams would crack. These guys showed great resilience, fought back and got a lead again.” - Scott Drew after his team’s win against UCF in their last game. 

“I needed to get him back centered. Remind him how good he is. How special he is.” - Kelvin Sampson on Milos Uzan after his team’s win against Colorado in their last game. 

O. Agbim 

C. Carr 

M. Rataj 

D. Skillings 

T. Yessoufou

C. Cenac 

K. Flemings 

E. Sharp 

J. Tugler 

M. Uzan

PPG: Cameron Carr (19.2)

APG: Obi Agbim (3.2)

Reb/G: Caden Powell (6.4)

PPG: Kingston Flemings (16.4)

APG: Kingston Flemings (5.2)

Reb/G: Chris Cenac Jr. (7.6)

Coaches:

Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (23rd season)

Houston Cougars: Kelvin Sampson (12th season)