Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/14/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Nov 11, 2026
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 14, 2026
Venue:  LaVell Edwards Stadium (LES), Provo, UT
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Baylor +7.5, BYU -7.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Baylor +7.5, BYU -7.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Baylor +7.5, BYU -7.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Season Record

Baylor Bears:  6-3 (4-2) (6th place, Big 12)
BYU Cougars:  7-2 (4-2) (3rd place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Baylor Bears:  won their last game at home against the Iowa State Cyclones 42-31.
BYU Cougars:  lost their last game on the road against the Utah Utes 28-20.


Baylor Bears vs BYU Cougars Preview and Analysis


Baylor is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Iowa State 42-31. DJ Lagway was the starting QB and he completed 16/28 passes for 229 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. DJ Lagway led the team in rushing yards with 119 and 1 TD. Taz Williams Jr. led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Micah Gifford led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Devin Turner and Travion Barnes each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
BYU is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Utah 28-20. Bear Bachmeier was the starting QB and he completed 21/35 passes for 272 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 4 interceptions. Bear Bachmeier led the team in rushing yards with 59. Legend Glasker led the receivers with 118 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Cade Uluave led the defense in that game with 7 tackles while Cade Uluave and Bodie Schoonover each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Baylor vs BYU Prediction

The current betting odds have BYU listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. BYU has looked good in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have looked great on their home field too with their 5-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Baylor has looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big 12. They have been a good road team too with their 2-1 road record this year. Baylor has been really up and down this season and they have already fired their head coach. They are coming off of a 42-31 win over Iowa State in their last one and they have looked a lot better since firing Dave Aranda. Their offense has been rolling lately with back-to-back games putting up over 40 points, but they still gave up over 30 points at home to a bad Iowa State team and their defense hasn't looked that good all season, still having trouble even after the firing. BYU is coming off a 28-20 road loss to Utah in their last one and that was a tough rivalry game for them to lose, but they still looked really good against one of the best teams in the nation. They had their chances to beat Utah in that one too and they made some big mistakes, but they will be looking to bounce back at home in this one. BYU is still a really good team with some really good wins this season and they are going to be motivated to bounce back since they are still ranked inside the top 10 after that loss to Utah and they are very much alive for the CFP. They need some help to get to the Big 12 Championship though and they really can't afford another loss, so look for BYU to bounce back at home and take care of business against a bad defense. The best way to place a bet here is on BYU to cover the spread in this game. 

Baylor BYU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 14, 2026 (3:30 pm ET start time) is BYU 31 Baylor 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Baylor Bears BYU Cougars prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Baylor Bears: 2-7 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 2-8 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 1-4 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 9-5 OVER in road lined games. 9-2 OVER off a win against a conference rival.

BYU Cougars: 24-12 ATS in all lined games. 16-8 ATS as a favorite. 7-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 11-4 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 10-4 OVER as a home favorite. 4-1 OVER off a loss against a conference rival.

Key Injuries


Baylor Bears:  C. Redding (S) Out - Knee. T. Williams Jr. (WR) Out - Collarbone.

BYU Cougars:  J. Nye (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Gentry (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Laga (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Martin (RB) Out - Ankle. S. Moa (RB) Out - Undisclosed.

Notable Quotes


“Guys just played, man. They played for each other, they played loose and free. And that’s the game. You’re going to get four quarters of pressure from Baylor as long as I have anything to say about it. That’s exactly what happened. We just kept putting pressure on them and eventually the dam broke.” - Joe Klanderman after his team’s win against ISU in their last game. 


“That’s an incredible amount of turnovers that we had. If you know anything about this rivalry, that is not the way to win it." - Kalani Sitake after his team’s loss against Utah in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Baylor Bears
WR Brown IV, Louis
WR Porter, Jadon
WR Freeman, Gavin
TE Klopfenstein, Matthew
QB Lagway, DJ
RB Pendergrass, Dawson

BYU Cougars
WR Kasper, Kyler
WR Phillips, Jojo
WR Glasker, Legend
TE Lyons, Walker
QB Bachmeier, Bear 
RB Martin, LJ

Statistical Leaders


Baylor Bears
Passing: DJ Lagway (1,900)
Rushing: Caden Knighten (361)
Receiving: Gavin Freeman (852)
Touchdowns: Jayden McGowan (5)

BYU Cougars
Passing: Bear Bachmeier (2,022)
Rushing: Bear Bachmeier (395)
Receiving: Legend Glasker (703)
Touchdowns: Bear Bachmeier (8)

Coaches:
Baylor Bears: Joe Klanderman (Interim)
BYU Cougars: Kalani Sitake (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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