by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Dec 23, 2023
Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, December 25, 2023
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Ravens +6, 49ers -6; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Ravens +6, 49ers -6; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Ravens +6, 49ers -6; Over/Under: 47 points
Season Record
Baltimore Ravens: 11-3 (1st place, AFC North)
San Francisco 49ers: 11-3 (1st place, NFC West)
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Baltimore Ravens: won their last game on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars 23-7.
San Francisco 49ers: won their last game on the road against the Arizona Cardinals 45-29.
Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis
The Ravens are entering this game with an 11-3 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 23-7. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 14/24 passes for 171 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Lamar Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 97. Isaiah Likely led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Kyle Hamilton led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Justin Madubuike led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The 49ers are entering this game with an 11-3 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 6-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Arizona Cardinals 45-29. Brock Purdy was the starting QB and he completed 16/25 passes for 242 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Christian McCaffrey led the team in rushing yards with 115 and 1 TD. Christian McCaffrey led the receivers with 72 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Fred Warner and Deommodore Lenoir each led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Javon Kinlaw and Nick Bosa each led the defense in sacks with 1. Charvarius Ward came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.
Ravens vs 49ers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Ravens listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Ravens have looked really good in their games this season with their 11-3 record overall which leads the AFC and they have been looking like the best team in the AFC this season over the last few weeks. Meanwhile, the 49ers are also 11-3 overall this season and have been looking like the best team in the NFC over the last few weeks. This game has the potential to be a Super Bowl matchup this year with the way these two have been playing but the spread is also disrespectful to the Ravens here. The Ravens have looked great in their road games this season with their 5-1 road record and they also won their 1 neutral site game in London, England. The 49ers may be at home for this game but the Ravens have one of the best defenses in the NFL along with a very strong and very balanced offense so they are going to keep themselves in this game with a chance to win it and not just get blown away on the road here. This is going to be a really close game between two of the best teams in the NFL and whoever wins this one won't do it by more than a field goal. The best way to place a bet here is on the Ravens to cover the spread in this game.
Ravens 49ers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 25, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is 49ers 31 Ravens 28.
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NFL Betting Trends
Baltimore Ravens: 7-16 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 2-9 ATS after a win by 10 or more points. 4-12 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-3 OVER as a road underdog. 8-4 OVER after a win by 10 or more points.
San Francisco 49ers: 27-17 ATS as a favorite. 16-9 ATS in home games. 13-4 ATS off a division game. 24-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 8-1 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 31-20 OVER off a road win against a division rival.
Key Injuries
Baltimore Ravens: M. Williams (S) Ques Mon - Groin. R. Stanley (OT) Ques Mon - Concussion. A. Maulet (CB) Ques Mon - Knee. J. Armour-Davis (CB) Ques Mon - Concussion. O. Beckham Jr. (WR) Ques Mon - Illness. Z. Flowers (WR) Prob Mon - Foot. K. Mitchell (RB) I-R - Knee. M. Hamm (LB) Ques Mon - Lower Body. D. Duvernay (WR) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Andrews (TE) I-R - Ankle. D. Ojabo (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Washington (S) Out indefinitely - Chest. J. Dobbins (RB) I-R - Achilles. T. Bowser (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Mullen (CB) Out indefinitely - Toe. A. Vorhees (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee.
San Francisco 49ers: C. Ferrell (DL) Ques Mon - Ankle. J. Jennings (WR) Ques Mon - Concussion. S. Burford (OL) Prob Mon - Knee. K. Davis (DL) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Armstead (DL) Ques Mon - Foot. E. Mitchell (RB) Ques Mon - Knee. R. Dwelley (TE) Ques Mon - Ankle. J. Hargrave (DL) Ques Mon - Hamstring. O. Burks (LB) Ques Mon - Knee. R. McCloud III (WR) Out indefinitely - Ribs. G. Odum (S) I-R - Bicep. T. Hufanga (S) I-R - Knee. N. Zakelj (OL) I-R - Bicep. D. Jackson (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Gray (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Latu (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It's heartbreaking. He's just got a great attitude and demeanor about him.” - John Harbaugh on Keaton Mitchell after his team’s win against the Jags in their last game.
“Winning the division is very important — it's a big step for us. But everyone knows where we want to be. We know that each week, we have to play our best ball. We're going to get everybody's best shot, so the standard has to continue to rise.” - Christian McCaffrey after their win against the Cardinals in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Baltimore Ravens
WR Beckham JR., Odell
WR Bateman, Rashod
WR Flowers, Zay
TE Likely, Isaiah
QB Jackson, Lamar
RB Edwards, Gus
FB Ricard, Patrick
San Francisco 49ers
WR Aiyuk, Brandon
WR Samuel, Deebo
WR Jennings, Jauan
TE Kittle, George
QB Purdy, Brock
RB McCaffrey, Christian
FB Juszczyk, Kyle
Statistical Leaders
Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (3105)
Rushing: L. Jackson (741)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (680)
Touchdowns: G. Edwards (11)
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: B. Purdy (3795)
Rushing: C. McCaffrey (1292)
Receiving: B. Aiyuk (1090)
Touchdowns: C. McCaffrey (20)
Coaches:
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (16th season)
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
