Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/08/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 03, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023
Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ravens -4.5, Steelers +4.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ravens -4.5, Steelers +4.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ravens -4.5, Steelers +4.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points

Season Record

Baltimore Ravens:  3-1 (1st place, AFC North)
Pittsburgh Steelers:  2-2 (2nd place, AFC North)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game on the road against the Cleveland Browns 28-3.
Pittsburgh Steelers:  lost their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 30-6.


Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Analysis


The Ravens are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 28-3. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 15/19 passes for 186 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Gus Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 48. Mark Andrews led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Patrick Queen, Broderick Washington, and Justin Madubuike each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kyle Hamilton, Geno Stone, and Brandon Stephens each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Steelers are entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 30-6. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB and he completed 15/23 passes for 114 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 71. Najee Harris led the receivers with 32 receiving yards on 1 reception. Minkah Fitzpatrick led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.


Ravens vs Steelers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Ravens listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Ravens are 3-1 this season but they are also 2-0 in their division games and already look well on their way to winning the AFC North this season. Beating the Steelers will give them a win over every division opponent already so they are going to have plenty of motivation here. The Steelers have been a lot better in their home games but they struggled a lot against the Texans last week as they scored just 6 points against a team who was projected to be one of the worst in the league. The Steelers defense struggled to stop a rookie QB last week and they will have a much tougher time with Lamar Jackson and this Ravens offense. The Ravens also have a really good defense that will be able to shut this Steelers offense down the way they were by the Texans. The best way to place a bet here is on the Ravens to cover the spread in this game. 

Ravens Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 8, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Ravens 27 Steelers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends


Baltimore Ravens: 3-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 5-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 13-3 UNDER off a road blowout win by 21 points or more. 9-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 19-7 UNDER as a favorite.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 101-67 ATS as an underdog. 22-10 ATS off a road blowout loss by 14 points or more. 45-25 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 14-6 UNDER after a loss by 21 or more points. 23-16 UNDER in all games.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Ravens:  R. Bateman (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. O. Oweh (LB) day-to-day - Ankle. O. Beckham Jr. (WR) day-to-day - Ankle. M. Williams (S) day-to-day - Pectoral. R. Stanley (OT) day-to-day - Knee. D. Ojabo (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Wallace (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. A. Washington (S) Out indefinitely - Chest. J. Dobbins (RB) I-R - Achilles. D. Williams (CB) Mid Oct - Ankle. M. Hamm (LB) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. K. Mitchell (RB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Humphrey (CB) Out indefinitely - Foot. T. Bowser (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Mullen (CB) Out indefinitely - Toe. A. Vorhees (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  P. Freiermuth (TE) Late Oct - Hamstring. K. Pickett (QB) day-to-day - Knee. J. Daniels (OL) day-to-day - Groin. P. Harvin III (P) day-to-day - Hamstring. G. Olszewski (WR) day-to-day - Head. A. McFarland Jr. (RB) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Johnson (WR) Mid Oct - Hamstring. C. Heyward (DT) Mid Nov - Groin. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.

Notable Quotes


“Lamar is who he is because of who he is. He’s going to bring his full skillset to every game. That's what he's going to do. That's what he does. That's why he is who he is.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Browns in their last game. 


“We’ve got to make some changes. That was an ugly product we put out there today. We’re not going to do the same things and hope for a different outcome. We’ll put those changes in place in our preparation this week.” - Mike Tomlin after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Ravens
WR Flowers, Zay  
WR BECKHAM JR., ODELL
WR AGHOLOR, NELSON 
TE Andrews, Mark 
QB Jackson, Lamar 
RB Edwards, Gus 
FB Ricard, Patrick

Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Austin III, Calvin  
WR Pickens, George 
WR ROBINSON II, ALLEN 
TE Freiermuth, Pat 
QB Pickett, Kenny 
RB Harris, Najee

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (794)
Rushing: L. Jackson (220)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (244)
Touchdowns: L. Jackson (4)

Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: K. Pickett (803)
Rushing: N. Harris (210)
Receiving: G. Pickens (263)
Touchdowns: P. Freiermuth (2)

Coaches:
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (16th season)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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