Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/04/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Dec 31, 2025
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, January 4, 2026
Venue:  Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA 
Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ravens -3.5, Steelers +3.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ravens -3.5, Steelers +3.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ravens -3.5, Steelers +3.5; Over/Under:  41 points

Season Record

Baltimore Ravens:  8-8 (2nd place, AFC North)
Pittsburgh Steelers:  9-7 (1st place, AFC North)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 41-24.
Pittsburgh Steelers:  lost their last game on the road against the Cleveland Browns 13-6.


Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers Preview and Analysis


The Ravens are entering this game with an 8-8 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-6 in their home games, 5-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 41-24. Tyler Huntley was the starting QB and he completed 16/20 passes for 107 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 216 and 4 TDs. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 30 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Nate Wiggins led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Travis Jones led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Marlon Humphrey came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Steelers are entering this game with a 9-7 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns 13-6. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 21/39 passes for 168 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 64. Pat Freiermuth led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Kyle Dugger led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Alex Highsmith led the defense in sacks with 2. Kyle Dugger and Jack Sawyer each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.


Ravens vs Steelers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 9-7 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC North. They have looked better on their home field too with their 4-3 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Ravens haven't looked great in their games this season with their 8-8 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AFC North. They have been a better road team this year too with their 5-2 road record. The Ravens are off a 41-24 win over the Packers in their last one, winning that game without Lamar Jackson, and as bad as they have been this season, they have put themselves in a position to win this division with a win in this game. They have been really up and down all season though, their offense not looking great at times, and they did lose at home to the Steelers a few weeks ago. The Steelers are off a 13-6 loss to the Browns in their last one and they had a chance to lock up the division in that game, but they couldn't get it done and now they have to bring their best effort in this final game of the season. The Steelers haven't looked bad lately though, their offense looking a lot better with Rodgers playing well too, so this isn't going to be a game that the Ravens run away with. The division is on the line here and this is going to be a tight game no matter who wins. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game. 

Ravens Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 4, 2026 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Steelers 23 Ravens 20.
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NFL Betting Trends


Baltimore Ravens: 1-4 ATS on the road revenging a home loss against an opponent. 22-30 ATS on the road as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-3 OVER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 14-8 OVER after playing their last game on the road.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 9-4 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 12-6 ATS versus division opponents. 9-2 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 24-18 OVER off a road loss against a division rival.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Ravens:  None.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  None.

Notable Quotes


“It's one of the greatest performances I've ever seen.” - John Harbaugh on Derrick Henry after his team’s win against the Packers in their last game. 


"When a game is going like that, usually you look for a splash play or two, maybe from defense or special teams to kickstart you and give you a leg up. Although our defense and special teams were solid, we missed out on those game-changing or momentum-changing plays. I thought we had one two minutes or so before halftime. [Nick] Herbig had his hands on a ball in our left flat, and he certainly had an opportunity to run it back had he caught it." - Mike Tomlin after his team’s loss against the Browns in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Ravens
WR Bateman, Rashod
WR Hopkins, DeAndre
WR Flowers, Zay
TE Andrews, Mark
QB Huntley, Tyler
RB Henry, Derrick
FB Ricard, Patrick

Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Thielen, Adam
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez
WR Austin III, Calvin
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Rodgers, Aaron
RB Warren, Jaylen

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Ravens
Passing: Lamar Jackson (2,311)
Rushing: Derrick Henry (1,469)
Receiving: Zay Flowers (1,073)
Touchdowns: Derrick Henry (16)

Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: Aaron Rodgers (3,028)
Rushing: Jaylen Warren (892)
Receiving: DK Metcalf (850)
Touchdowns: Jaylen Warren (8)

Coaches:
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (18th season)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (19th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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