Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/25/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Dec 23, 2024
Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Wednesday, December 25, 2024
Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX 
Where to Watch:  Netflix


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ravens -4, Texans +4; Over/Under:  47 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ravens -4, Texans +4; Over/Under:  47 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ravens -4, Texans +4; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Season Record

Baltimore Ravens:  10-5 (2nd place, AFC North)
Houston Texans:  9-6 (1st place, AFC South)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers 34-17.
Houston Texans:  lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 27-19.


Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis


The Ravens are entering this game with a 10-5 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 5-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 34-17. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 15/23 passes for 207 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 162. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 100 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Kyle Van Noy led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Marlon Humphrey came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Texans are entering this game with a 9-6 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 4-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 27-19. C. J. Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 23/39 passes for 244 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 57. Tank Dell led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Eric Murray led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Christian Harris led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Ravens vs Texans Prediction

The current betting odds have the Ravens listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Ravens have looked good in their games this season with their 10-5 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AFC North, but that record also has them tied with the Steelers who lead the division. The Ravens have a ton of momentum on their side right now with 2 wins in a row since coming out of their bye week, and they are coming off a big win over the Steelers last week in a game they had complete control in. Meanwhile, the Texans have looked good in their games this season with their 9-6 record overall which leads the AFC South, but they also don't have another team over .500 in their division. They have already locked up the division too so they don't have the pressure to win every game to make the playoffs while the Ravens are fighting to win their division still. The Texans haven't looked great in a lot of their games against better teams though, and they are even coming off a 27-19 loss to the Chiefs last week. They have looked a lot better in their home games this season with their 5-2 home record, but their defense isn't going to stop this Ravens offense. The Texans will have to keep up on offense in this game, but they are already missing Stefon Diggs for the season and have now added Tank Dell to that list. The offensive line has also had big problems all season which has led to the Texans offense not looking great in a lot of their games. The Ravens have been rolling in their games lately and the Texans won't be the team to stop them here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Ravens to cover the spread in this game. 

Ravens Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Wednesday, December 25, 2024 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Ravens 35 Texans 24.
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NFL Betting Trends


Baltimore Ravens: 17-8 ATS in road games. 20-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 11-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 4-1 UNDER against AFC South division opponents. 6-2 UNDER off a win against a division rival. 10-5 1H UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

Houston Texans: 4-8 ATS off a road loss. 8-13 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 30-19 UNDER in all games. 16-8 UNDER in home games. 23-10 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).

Key Injuries


Baltimore Ravens:  N. Agholor (WR) Questionable - Concussion. D. Johnson (WR) Out - NIR - Personal. J. Hill (RB) Injured - NIR - Personal. J. Armour-Davis (CB) Out - Hamstring. D. Faalele (T) Questionable - Knee. O. Oweh (OLB) Questionable - Ankle. A. Washington (SAF) Injured - Ankle. A. Isaac (OLB) Injured - Hamstring. R. Bateman (WR) Questionable - Foot. T. Tampa (CB) Injured - Ankle. S. Kane (SAF) Injured - Hamstring.

Houston Texans:  C. Harris (LB) Questionable - Ankle. D. Phillips (LB) Injured - Foot. D. Mills (QB) Injured - Illness. J. Metchie (WR) Out - Shoulder. C. Stover (TE) Out - Illness. N. Broeker (G) Injured - Hand. J. Mixon (RB) Injured - Ankle. F. Fatukasi (DT) Out - Ankle. J. Scruggs (OL) Out - Foot. K. Green (G) Injured - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


“I feel like we've been busting our behind all season long, had ups and downs throughout this whole season, but to clinch a playoff against a great team like that, that's great. That means we're moving in the right direction.” - Lamar Jackson after their win against the Steelers in their last game. 


“All our thoughts and prayers are with Tank right now. You see what he means to our entire team. It hurts to see him go down like that. He was having a fantastic game, playing really well for us.” - DeMeco Ryans on the injury to Tank Dell after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Ravens
WR Bateman, Rashod
WR Flowers, Zay
WR Wallace, Tylan
TE Andrews, Mark 
QB Jackson, Lamar
RB Henry, Derrick 
FB Ricard, Patrick

Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico
WR Wayne, Jared 
WR Woods, Robert
TE Schultz, Dalton
QB Stroud, C.J.
RB Mixon, Joe 
FB Beck, Andrew

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Ravens
Passing: L. Jackson (3787)
Rushing: D. Henry (1636)
Receiving: Z. Flowers (1016)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (15)

Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (3248)
Rushing: J. Mixon (910)
Receiving: N. Collins (849)
Touchdowns: J. Mixon (12)

Coaches:
Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (17th season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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