Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 12/12/2021

by Chuck Sommers

Game time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Where to watch: CBS

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Browns -2.5
BetMGM: Browns -2.5
Caesars: Browns -2.5

Season record
Ravens: 8-4 (1st place, AFC North)
Browns: 6-6 (Last place, AFC North)

Jim Feist hit both the side and total on Monday night with the Patriots and the UNDER. Start your week 14 of the NFL the same way Jim finished week 13, with a winner. It's Thursday Night Football as the Pittsburgh Steelers take on the Vikings in Minnesota. Catch Jim’s plays available right now at the Shop Picks page, where you can find all of the Best Bets from our champion sports handicappers.

Ravens - Browns preview and analysis

Last week
Ravens: lost 20-19 at Steelers
Browns: Bye (lost 16-10 at Ravens in Week 12)

We're reaching blasphemous levels on the Baltimore Ravens being underdogs this weekend against the Cleveland Browns.

Even though the Ravens lost by one to the Pittsburgh Steelers last week and somehow didn't have their AFC North chances take a hit, Baltimore is still facing a Browns team it held to 10 points two weeks ago.

While the Browns are fighting for their playoff lives and essentially need this must-win situation to go their way, luck is not on Cleveland's side. The Ravens have not only won the last four, but have also covered as favorites the last four meetings. That includes the last matchup in Cleveland, that epic 47-42 Monday Night matchup nearly a year to the day of Sunday's game.

"Defense, I thought, played great," Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield said prior to the bye week. "We need to play better, make more plays, complementary football."

The Browns did everything right in that last meeting against the Ravens. Not only did they hold Lamar Jackson to just 165 passing yards, but also intercepted him four times, three of them in the second half.

Jackson played better last week in the 1-point loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, throwing for 253 yards, a touchdown and a pick, but got no help from the running game and didn't make enough plays on the road to get the win. Baltimore went for the ballsy move of going for two after driving down the field for the tying touchdown, but Jackson missed Mark Andrews in the end zone and lost the game.

"We tried to win the game right there," Ravens coach John Harbaugh said. "We were pretty much out of corners at that point in time. It was an opportunity for us to win the game right there."

The Ravens have, for the most part, dominated the past few meetings. While things could change, the fact is Cleveland has only won two of the last 10 meetings and the under has cashed in seven of them. The Browns are going to need to score points in order to win this game, easier said than done, but Cleveland has been held to 21.2 points per game. That's a mark that should not be happening for this much talent.

Baltimore, meanwhile, has the ninth-best scoring defense (21.7 PPG) in the league. If it comes down to it, defense will rule the roost.

Prediction


The Ravens getting the points is a crime. Baltimore is 10-2-1 against the spread in its last 13 in Cleveland and unless Mayfield turned into Otto Graham during the bye week, I can't expect the Browns to rebound in any capacity. Ravens by 10

Betting trends


The under is 4-0 in the Ravens’ last four games.

The Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when the line is between +3 and -3.

The Ravens are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games during the second half of the season.

The Browns are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team with a winning record on the road.

The Browns are 8-10 ATS as a home favorite in their last 18.

Players to watch


Ravens: Running back Devonta Freeman had 97 yards from scrimmage last week in Pittsburgh, a positive sign for Baltimore trying to find a consistent running game.

Browns: Running back Nick Chubb has recorded at least 140 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown in two of his past three games.

Statistical leaders


Ravens:
Passing: Lamar Jackson – 2,865 yards, 16 TD, 13 INT
Rushing: Lamar Jackson – 825 yards, 6 TD
Receiving: Marquise Brown – 825 yards, 6 TD
Defense: Tyus Bowser – 5.5 sacks

Browns:
Passing: Baker Mayfield – 2,413 yards, 11 TD, 6 INT
Rushing: Nick Chubb – 867 yards, 6 TD
Receiving: David Njoku – 407 yards, 3 TD
Defense: Myles Garrett – 14 sacks

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Baltimore Ravens - Cleveland Browns prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NFL projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2022 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.