Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/01/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023

Venue:  Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Ravens +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under:  41 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Ravens +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under:  41 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Ravens +2.5, Browns -2.5; Over/Under:  41 points

Baltimore Ravens:  2-1 (2nd place, AFC North)

Cleveland Browns:  2-1 (3rd place, AFC North)

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Baltimore Ravens:  lost their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts in overtime 22-19.

Cleveland Browns:  won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 27-3.

The Ravens are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts in OT 22-19. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 22/31 passes for 202 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Lamar Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 101 and 2 TDs. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 48 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Brandon Stephens led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Kyle Hamilton led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

 

 

 

The Browns are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 27-3. Deshaun Watson was the starting QB and he completed 27/33 passes for 289 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Pierre Strong Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 27. Amari Cooper led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Myles Garrett led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Myles Garrett led the defense in sacks with 3.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns are 2-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road against the Steelers but they have looked really good in their home games. They are 2-0 at home this season and they just blew out the Titans 27-3 as their defense shut them down on all fronts. The Ravens enter this game with a 2-1 record too after losing at home to the Colts last week but they are also really banged up with a lot of missing players. The Ravens also love to run the ball with their run heavy QB Lamar Jackson but the Browns just shut down Derrick Henry and the Titans on the ground in their last game, they are not going to give up much against the Ravens at home here. The Browns also have a better offense right now as they still have a good running game without Chubb and they have a lot more talent on their offense for Watson to utilize. The Browns are going to be a really tough team to beat at home this year with that strong defense and they are getting the Ravens in the perfect spot here with all of their injuries. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.

Ravens Browns Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 1, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Browns 23 Ravens 16.

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Baltimore Ravens: 10-2 ATS as an underdog. 36-18 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 11-6 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 8-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 23-15 UNDER in all games.

Cleveland Browns: 6-11 ATS as a favorite. 3-10 ATS after a win by 21 or more points. 4-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 37-16 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 8-2 UNDER off a home win.

Baltimore Ravens:  T. Wallace (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Ojabo (LB) day-to-day - Ankle. R. Bateman (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. G. Edwards (RB) day-to-day - Concussion. J. Hill (RB) day-to-day - Toe. O. Oweh (LB) day-to-day - Ankle. T. Linderbaum (C) day-to-day - Ankle. O. Beckham Jr. (WR) day-to-day - Ankle. M. Williams (S) day-to-day - Pectoral. R. Stanley (OT) day-to-day - Knee. A. Washington (S) Out indefinitely - Chest. J. Dobbins (RB) I-R - Achilles. D. Williams (CB) Mid Oct - Ankle. M. Hamm (LB) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. K. Mitchell (RB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Humphrey (CB) Out indefinitely - Foot. T. Bowser (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Mullen (CB) Out indefinitely - Toe. A. Vorhees (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Cleveland Browns:  J. Hudson III (OT) day-to-day - Ankle. G. Newsome II (CB) day-to-day - Elbow. S. Ika (DT) day-to-day - Foot. N. Chubb (RB) I-R - Knee. J. Conklin (OT) I-R - Knee. J. Kunaszyk (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Woods II (WR) Out indefinitely - Achilles. D. Forbes (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Grant Sr. (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Pectoral. D. Deaton (G) I-R - Knee. T. Graham Jr. (CB) I-R - Ankle. A. Wright (DE) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“We had plenty of opportunities in the game to finish, but it is what it is. Fight another day.” - Lamar Jackson after their loss against the Colts in their last game.

“When Myles do that, he’s the best player in the world. We believe that and we know that. We see it every day in practice and we see it every day on Sunday. He wanted to show that he’s the best guy in the world at that position.” - Deshaun Watson on Myles Garrett after their win against the Titans in their last game.

WR BECKHAM JR., ODELL 

WR Bateman, Rashod 

WR Flowers, Zay 

TE Andrews, Mark 

QB Jackson, Lamar 

RB Edwards, Gus 

FB Ricard, Patrick

WR Cooper, Amari 

WR Peoples-Jones, Donovan 

WR Moore, Elijah 

TE Njoku, David 

QB Watson, Deshaun 

RB Ford, Jerome

Passing: L. Jackson (608)

Rushing: L. Jackson (193)

Receiving: Z. Flowers (188)

Touchdowns: J. Hill (2)

Passing: D. Watson (678)

Rushing: N. Chubb (170)

Receiving: A. Cooper (243)

Touchdowns: J. Ford (3)

Coaches:

Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (16th season)

Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (4th season)