Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/03/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Sunday, October 3, 2021
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet


Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  52-108 (5th place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  89-71 (4th place, AL East)
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Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game after losing the series opener against the Jays on Friday night. They have now lost 2 of their last 3 and 3 of their last 5 games after that loss. This will be their final three-game series of the year as they have been eliminated from playoff contention with one of the worst records in the MLB this season. This will be the series finale with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday, that result is pending. John Means will be getting the nod for their game on Saturday while Bruce Zimmermann will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Sunday. He is 4-4 with a 4.66 ERA this season. He was credited with 1 loss in the last game there was a decision but his team has actually won 3 of their last 4 games with him on the mound. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, it being a homer, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 2 hits through 4 IP against the Boston Red Sox last Tuesday night. This will be his first time facing the Blue Jays lineup all year. Their offense has scored 14 runs in their last 4 games averaging over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 16 runs against them in that same span allowing 4 runs per game.

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game after winning their series opener against the Orioles on Friday. They have now won 2 of their last 3 and 4 of their last 6 games with their Saturday game yet to be played, the result is pending for that one. The Blue Jays are in a tight AL Wild Card race so it is a necessity for them that they win their last 2 games. This will be the series finale between these two on Sunday. Alek Manoah will be the starter on Saturday while Hyun Jin Ryu will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Sunday. He is 13-10 with a 4.39 ERA this season and he is one of the starting pitchers on this rotation who has the 2nd most wins on this team. He has been credited with 2 straight losses and his team has lost 4 of their last 6 games with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4.1 innings of work against the New York Yankees last Tuesday. He has seen the Orioles lineup 5 times this season and he is 3-1 against them with 1 no-decision and his team is 4-1 in those games he pitched in. Their offense has scored 16 runs in their last 4 games averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 22 runs against them in that same span allowing over 5 runs per game.


Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

The AL Wild Card race is heating up as the Yankees hold the 1st spot while the Red Sox have the 2nd spot just 1 game behind. The Jays are just 1 game behind the Red Sox and are tied with the Seattle Mariners. They have to win every game to finish the season if they want a chance at making the postseason and with this being the final game, the best bet to make here is on the Jays on the moneyline and on the runline as they have the drive and the motivation to keep fighting until the end.
Orioles Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, October 3, 2021 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 5 Orioles 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

Baltimore Orioles: Will be posted soon.
Toronto Blue Jays: Will be posted soon.

Key Injuries

Baltimore Orioles:  C. Ellis (SP) Out indefinitely - Arm injury. A. Santander (RF) Out indefinitely - Leg injury. K. Akin (SP) out for season - Abdominal injury.
Toronto Blue Jays:  L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Ques Fri - Hand injury. J. Soria (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Hatch (SP) out for season - Hamstring injury.

Players to Watch

Baltimore Orioles: Bo Bichette is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in hits and in stolen bases this season. He is very dangerous as a baserunner so look for him to get some hits and get himself into scoring position in this game as it is a must win for the Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays: Ryan Mountcastle is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in homers and in RBI. The Orioles may be out of the playoffs but they can still spoil the chances for the Blue Jays in this game. Look for him to get some big hits and score some runs here to try and throw a monkey wrench into the Jays’ postseason plans.

Notable Quotes

"It's exciting. We're playing important games in October so it's a lot of fun." - Steven Matz after their win against the Orioles on Friday.
"That was the best I've seen him throw in a long time, just the command, how aggressive he was in the strike zone. He had a really good breaking ball. He made it really tough on our hitters." - Brandon Hyde on the way Matz was pitching against his team in their loss to the Jays on Friday.

Starting Lineups

Baltimore Orioles
C. Mullins CF
R. Mountcastle 1B
A. Hays RF
T. Mancini DH
P. Severino C
K. Gutierrez 3B
T. Nevin LF
P. Valaika 2B
R. Martin SS
Toronto Blue Jays
G. Springer CF
M. Semien 2B
V. Guerrero Jr. DH
B. Bichette SS
T. Hernandez RF
C. Dickerson LF
S. Espinal 3B
D. Jansen C
C. Biggio 1B

Statistical Leaders

Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  C. Mullins (.293)
Hits:  C. Mullins (174)
Home Runs: R. Mountcastle (33)
RBI:  R. Mountcastle (89)
Stolen Bases:  C. Mullins (30)
Wins:  M. Harvey (6)
Saves:  C. Sulser (8)
ERA:  C. Ellis (2.15)
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  V. Guerrero Jr. (.310)
Hits:  B. Bichette (187)
Home Runs:  V. Guerrero Jr. (46)
RBI:  T. Hernandez (112)
Stolen Bases:  B. Bichette (25)
Wins:  S. Matz (14)
Saves:  J. Romano (23)
ERA:  D. Phelps (0.87)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (3rd season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)

Weather Forecast

65 degrees F rain, 94% humidity, 80% chance of rain, up to 8 mph wind speeds N.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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