Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/02/2021

Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Saturday, October 2, 2021

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Oroioles +225, Blue Jays -280; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Oroioles +220, Blue Jays -270; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Oroioles +225, Blue Jays -275; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

 

Baltimore Orioles:  52-107 (5th place, AL East)

Toronto Blue Jays:  88-71 (4th place, AL East)

 

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Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  4-6 last 10

 

 

 

The Orioles are coming into this game after winning their series finale against the Boston Red Sox 6-2. They went on to win that series taking 2 of the 3 games against them. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and 3 of their last 5. This will be the 2nd game of a three-game series against the Blue Jays, the final series of the regular season. Their series opener on Friday is still to be played, that result is pending. Their pitcher for Friday's game has yet to be determined but John Means will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Saturday. He is 6-8 with a 3.32 ERA this season. He was credited with the loss in his last time out and his team has lost 9 of their last 10 games with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 0 BB with 8 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Texas Rangers last Sunday. This will be the first time he has seen the Blue Jays lineup this season. Their offense has scored 10 runs in their last 3 games averaging a little more than 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 10 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 3 runs per game.

 

The Blue Jays are coming into this game after losing their series finale against the New York Yankees 6-2. They went on to lose that series dropping 2 of the 3 games. They have now lost 2 of their last 3 games but have won 3 of their last 5. Their series opener with Baltimore on Friday is still to be played, the result is pending for that game. This will be the 2nd game in that series on Saturday. Steven Matz has been given the nod for Friday's game while Alek Manoah will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Saturday. He is in his rookie year but he has an 8-2 record with a 3.35 ERA this season. He has been credited with 3 straight wins in his last 3 starts but his team has actually won their last 7 straight with him starting on the mound. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 being a homer, and 2 BB with 8 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.2 innings of work against the Minnesota Twins last Sunday. He has seen the Orioles lineup twice this season and both times there was a no-decision but his team is 1-1 in those games as he allowed 5 earned runs in 1 of those games and 0 in the other. Their offense has scored 10 runs in their last 3 games averaging a little over 3 runs scored per game in that span and they have allowed their opponents to score 18 runs against them in that same span allowing 6 runs per game.

 

The Oakland Athletics have officially been eliminated from playoff contention so that leaves the Jays competing with the Yankees who are 3 games ahead of them, and the Red Sox and Seattle Mariners who are both tied in the second Wild Card spot just 1 game ahead of the Blue Jays. The Orioles are out and all they can do is play spoiler now. The Jays must win every game and sweep this series to make the postseason with the Wild Card race in the American League being so tight and they still have the motivation and the belief that they can make it to the playoffs. They will be looking to feed on a bad Baltimore team here and try to get 3 easy wins from this series. The best bet to make in this game is on the Jays on the moneyline or the runline as they will be hungry for some wins to finish their season strong.

 

Orioles Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, October 2, 2021 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 8 Orioles 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 47-96 (-18.8 units) as an underdog of +100 or higher. 52-107 (-26.9 units) in all games. 25-53 (-8.7 units) in road games.

Toronto Blue Jays: 32-24 (+5.9 units) when the total is 7 to 8.5. 40-18 (+16.3 units) in day games.

 

 

Baltimore Orioles:  C. Ellis (SP) Out indefinitely - Arm injury. A. Santander (RF) Out indefinitely - Leg injury. K. Akin (SP) out for season - Abdominal injury.

Toronto Blue Jays:  L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) Ques Fri - Hand injury. J. Soria (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Hatch (SP) out for season - Hamstring injury.

 

 

Baltimore Orioles: Cedric Mullins is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in batting average, hits, and in stolen bases. The Orioles are looking to play spoiler with their division rivals here so look for him to get on base and score some runs as he is a dangerous baserunner once he gets on.

 

Toronto Blue Jays: Bo Bichette is one player to watch here. He leads his team in hits and in stolen bases. He is a very dangerous baserunner and will find ways to get himself into scoring position. He also hit the game winning home run a few nights ago in their win over the Yankees. They are still trying to get a playoff spot so look for him to play his best and give his team a chance here.

 

 

"It was great to be able to come through in that moment. It's just fun when the games really matter this much to somebody. We're out of it, but we can still have an effect on how the season goes." - Tyler Nevin on his motivation to keep playing until the season is over.

 

 

"We've just got to go one game at a time and win every game now, for sure." - Charlie Montoyo after losing another game to the Yankees on Thursday.

 

 

 

C. Mullins CF

Ryan Mountcastle 1B

A. Hays RF

T. Mancini DH

P. Severino C

K. Gutierrez 3B

T. Nevin LF

P. Valaika SS

J. Jones 2B

 

G. Springer CF

M. Semien 2B

V. Guerrero Jr. 1B

B. Bichette SS

T. Hernandez LF

C. Dickerson DH

A. Kirk C

S. Espinal 3B

R. Grichuk RF

 

Batting Average:  C. Mullins (.295)

Hits:  C. Mullins (174)

Home Runs: R. Mountcastle (33)

RBI:  R. Mountcastle (89)

Stolen Bases:  C. Mullins (30)

Wins:  M. Harvey (6)

Saves:  C. Sulser (8)

ERA:  C. Ellis (2.15)

 

Batting Average:  V. Guerrero Jr. (.313)

Hits:  B. Bichette (186)

Home Runs:  V. Guerrero Jr. (46)

RBI:  T. Hernandez (112)

Stolen Bases:  B. Bichette (25)

Wins:  H. Ryu (13)

Saves:  J. Romano (22)

ERA:  D. Phelps (0.87)

 

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (3rd season)

Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)

 

74 degrees F partly cloudy, 67% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 11 mph wind speeds NE.