Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/03/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Aug 02, 2023
Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Thursday, August 3, 2023
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +124, Blue Jays -148; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +124, Blue Jays -148; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +124, Blue Jays -148; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  66-41 (1st place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  59-49 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 66-41 record overall and have a road record of 34-20. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of this series on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .740 OPS. Rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Jack Flaherty is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 7-6 with a 4.43 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss but won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-49 record overall and have a home record of 29-23. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also lost the 1st game and the 2nd game of this series on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kevin Gausman is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 8-5 with a 3.10 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 9 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.


Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been climbing the standings lately as they have been playing a lot better and this is a big series for them. They are taking on the division leading Orioles who have been rolling in their games lately and have already taken 2 of the games in this series so the Blue Jays are going to be trying to salvage this series with a split at least. They have their ace Gausman on the mound here and even though he hasn't been at his best lately, he has still been a really reliable starter for them all season and he has been starting to pitch a lot better lately too. He will continue to get back on track in this start by shutting down the Orioles at home here. The Orioles are going with newly acquired starter Flaherty in this game but he hasn't been pitching that well this season. He has also been giving up quite a few runs in his starts lately and the Blue Jays have a really good offense that will take advantage of the scoring positions he puts them in. The Blue Jays have also been a lot better in their home games and they will do what it takes to come away with a series split here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Orioles Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 3, 2023 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 7 Orioles 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 66-41 (+28.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 34-20 (+21.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 29-20 OVER in road games. JACK FLAHERTY is 13-7 OVER in all games.

Toronto Blue Jays: 29-23 (-6.7 units) on the moneyline in home games. 7-22 (-22.8 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. KEVIN GAUSMAN is 23-17 OVER in home games and 23-13 OVER against division opponents.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  J. Means (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. K. Akin (RP) Mid Aug - Back. C. Mullins (CF) Mid Aug - Groin. A. Hicks (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. A. Voth (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Tate (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm.

Toronto Blue Jays:  O. Lopez (2B) out for season - Oblique. B. Bichette (SS) Ques Wed - Knee. J. Jackson (RP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Romano (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Green (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“That gave us some big-time breathing room. We had great at-bats all night.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Tuesday.


“He kind of got ambushed early there in the first inning. Kind of what we expected navigating a tough lineup. I thought he got better as his outing went on.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Gunnar Henderson (L) DH
Jordan Westburg (R) 2B
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Ryan McKenna (R) CF
Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Toronto Blue Jays
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Brandon Belt (L) DH
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
George Springer (R) RF
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Danny Jansen (R) C
Daulton Varsho (L) LF
Santiago Espinal (R) SS
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.308)
Hits:  Adley Rutschman (105)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (19)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (62)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (25)
Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (29)
ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.500)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (144)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (17)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (66)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (21)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (10)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (28)
ERA:  Jay Jackson (0.53)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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