Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/01/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 31, 2023
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Tuesday, August 1, 2023
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +105, Blue Jays -125; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  64-41 (1st place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  59-47 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-41 record overall and have a road record of 32-20. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Kyle Gibson is their starting pitcher on Monday while Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-6 with a 3.29 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 6.2 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss but won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-47 record overall and have a home record of 29-21. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Chris Bassitt is their starting pitcher on Monday while Hyun Jin Ryu is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season and he will be making his season debut here after missing a lot of time due to injury.


Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been rolling all season as they were trailing closely behind the Rays in 1st place for most of the year but now they have been surging up the standings and lead the division themselves with that great offense of theirs. The Blue Jays have also been playing well lately as they also have a really good offense but they have also been a really up and down team in their games, especially with their offense, and they will have a tougher time trying to score runs on the Orioles here. The Orioles have Bradish starting in this game and he did give up 5 runs in his last start but he has also been pitching really well in his other starts lately and he will be looking to bounce back with a much better performance in this very important series. He is also going to get some help from his team's bats as the Blue Jays are going with Hyun Jin Ryu in this game and he is making his 1st start of the season. Ryu has not been a bad starter but he also hasn't pitched in a very long time as he has been plagued by injuries and it will be really tough for him to jump right in this game and pitch well against a really good offense that is taking over the AL East at the moment. The Orioles will get their chances to take advantage of Ryu in his 1st start back from injury and this will be a game where the Orioles offense can carry a majority of the load if Bradish has another bad start. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Orioles Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 1, 2023 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Orioles 6 Blue Jays 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 64-41 (+26.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-20 (+18.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 28-19 OVER in road games. 26-17 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125. 

Toronto Blue Jays: 41-32 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 7-20 (-20.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. HYUN-JIN RYU is 19-10 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher and 13-6 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  J. Means (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. K. Akin (RP) Early Aug - Back. C. Mullins (CF) Early Aug - Groin. A. Hicks (CF) Early Aug - Hamstring. A. Voth (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm.

Toronto Blue Jays:  J. Romano (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. H. Ryu (SP) Prob Tues - Elbow. C. Green (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“The crowds have been unbelievable this weekend. We really appreciate the energy in the ballpark and how much our fans have showed up this weekend to support us, and drowned out the Yankees' fans. So that's been great, to see the energy in the ballpark.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Sunday.


“You’re trying to put guys in the right spot. They just got the big hit.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the LA Angels in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B
Austin Hays (R) CF
Adam Frazier (L) LF
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Jordan Westburg (R) 2B
James McCann (R) C

Toronto Blue Jays
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
George Springer (R) RF
Alejandro Kirk (R) DH
Danny Jansen (R) C
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
Daulton Varsho (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.304)
Hits:  Adley Rutschman (103)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (18)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (58)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (23)
Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (28)
ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.429)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (142)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (17)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (66)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (21)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (10)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (28)
ERA:  Genesis Cabrera (0.00)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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