Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/20/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, May 19, 2023
Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Saturday, May 20, 2023
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +135, Blue Jays -155 Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +135, Blue Jays -155 Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +135, Blue Jays -155 Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  28-16 (2nd place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  25-19 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this game off of a loss in their last game after splitting their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-2. They enter this game with a 28-16 record overall and have a road record of 13-8. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Kyle Gibson is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-1 with a 6.57 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 ER, 2 HR, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 9 hits through 3.1 IP against the LA Angels.

The Blue Jays are entering this game off of a loss in their last game after losing their 4-game series against the New York Yankees 3-1. They enter this game with a 25-19 record overall and have a home record of 13-6. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the 1st game of the series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi is their starting pitcher on Friday while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 7 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4 innings played against the New York Yankees.


Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have been playing well this season with the Orioles sitting in 2nd while the Blue Jays are in 3rd place of the division, but this series is a great opportunity for the Blue Jays to gain some ground on the Orioles in the standings. The Orioles have improved a lot from last season as they have been winning a lot of games out of the gate with good offense but the Blue Jays also have a really good offense that can score runs in these games too. The Orioles have also had to score runs to win games as their pitching has been terrible all season while the Blue Jays started off pitching terribly but both their bullpen and starters have been improving over the last few weeks. Kikuchi is starting for them in this game and he went from being their worst starter last season to being one of their best this season with the improvements he has made in the off-season. The Orioles have a rookie starting in this game too and with their struggles pitching already, the Blue Jays lineup are going to have a field day in this game with the amount of runs they could put up here in their ballpark. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Orioles Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 20, 2023 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 7 Orioles 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 28-16 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 22-10 (+11 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 10-5 OVER as an underdog of +100 to +150. 11-6 OVER in day games.

Toronto Blue Jays: 6-8 (-5.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 5-9 (-7.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. ALEK MANOAH is 6-3 OVER in all games and 5-1 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  R. Urias (3B) Late May - Hamstring. D. Tate (RP) Late May - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Late May - Knee. J. Means (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Ques Fri - Illness. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. Z. Pop (RP) Late May - Hamstring. A. Cimber (RP) Late May - Back. M. White (SP) Late May - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“That's a really good team, really good lineup. I think our game plan, we executed that today. Trout got a fastball out to where he could get extended on it.” - Kyle Bradish after their win against the Angels in their game on Wednesday.


“These last four days, he’s been locked in.” - Jose Berrios on Aaron Judge after their loss against the Yankees in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Austin Hays (R) LF
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) RF
James McCann (R) C
Ryan McKenna (R) CF
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
Joey Ortiz (R) 2B

Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Danny Jansen (R) C
Alejandro Kirk (R) DH
Brandon Belt (L) 1B
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B


Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.312)
Hits:  Ryan Mountcastle (45)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (9)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (34)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (13)
Wins:  Dean Kremer (5)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (11)
ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.00)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Bo Bichette (.328)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (61)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (9)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (29)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (12)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (5)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (10)
ERA:  Tim Mayza (1.23)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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