Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/19/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, May 18, 2023
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Friday, May 19, 2023
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  Apple TV+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  28-15 (2nd place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  25-18 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak. They enter this game with a 28-15 record overall and have a road record of 13-8. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Friday and they still have their series finale against the LA Angels on Thursday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-3 with a 4.67 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Blue Jays are entering this game off of a win in their last game. They enter this game with a 25-18 record overall and have a home record of 13-5. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they still have the series finale of their series against the New York Yankees on Thursday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. José Berríos is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Yusei Kikuchi is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-0 with a 3.89 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 3 homers, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 9 hits through 4 innings played against the Atlanta Braves.


Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays are off to a good start this season but haven't been as hot as the Orioles who are sitting in 2nd place above the Blue Jays by 3 games. The Orioles have improved a lot this season and they were already on the rise last year but now they are a really competitive team that could be in the playoffs this year. The Blue Jays also have a really good team though and they are going to be looking to knock the Orioles down a few pegs in this home series as the Blue Jays can use this series to gain a lot of ground on the Orioles in the standings. The Orioles have been playing well but a lot of that is due to their great offense which has been winning them games. Their pitching hasn't been great though as they do give up a ton of runs in their games and the Blue Jays are a big hitting team that is going to put runs up on the board here at home. Kikuchi has also been having a great season after performing so poorly last year while Gibson continues his struggles from last season into this year. The Blue Jays offense will be able to take advantage of the Orioles in this series and gain some ground in the standings here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Orioles Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, May 19, 2023 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 9 Orioles 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 28-15 (+13 units) on the moneyline in all games. 22-9 (+12.7 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 13-7 OVER in road games. 11-6 OVER against left-handed starters.

Toronto Blue Jays: 60-51 (-13.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 107-75 (-17.5 units) on the moneyline in home games. 10-5 OVER in May games. YUSEI KIKUCHI is 22-13 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  C. Mullins (CF) Ques Thurs - Rest. J. Mateo (SS) Ques Thurs - Leg. R. Urias (3B) Late May - Hamstring. D. Tate (RP) Late May - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Late May - Knee. J. Means (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  V. Guerrero Jr. (1B) Ques Thurs - Knee. K. Kiermaier (CF) Ques Thurs - Illness. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. Z. Pop (RP) Late May - Hamstring. A. Cimber (RP) Late May - Back. M. White (SP) Late May - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“That's a really good team, really good lineup. I think our game plan, we executed that today. Trout got a fastball out to where he could get extended on it.” - Kyle Bradish after their win against the Angels in their game on Wednesday.


“When my heart rate got up, I had a really bad headache. I basically tried to pitch like a zombie today. I took a ball on purpose and we blew through some mound visits, but that was all in the plan just to get through it.” - Chris Bassitt after their win against the Yankees in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Austin Hays (R) LF
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) RF
James McCann (R) C
Ryan McKenna (R) CF
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
Joey Ortiz (R) 2B

Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Brandon Belt (L) 1B
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Danny Jansen (R) DH
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B


Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.333)
Hits:  Ryan Mountcastle (45)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (9)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (34)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (13)
Wins:  Dean Kremer (5)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (11)
ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.00)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Kevin Kiermaier (.327)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (58)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (8)
RBI:  Bo Bichette (28)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (12)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (5)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (10)
ERA:  Tim Mayza (1.23)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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