Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/10/2023

Game Time: 8:03 pm ET, Tuesday, October 10, 2023

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +114, Rangers -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +120, Rangers -140; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +115, Rangers -135; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  101-61 (1st place, AL East)

Texas Rangers:  90-72 (2nd place, AL West)

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Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

Texas Rangers:  6-4 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-2 in their last series of the regular season. They finished the regular season with a 101-61 record overall and had a road record of 52-29. This is the 3rd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Rangers on Tuesday for the AL Division Series and they lost game 1 of this series along with game 2 on Saturday and Sunday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 13-5 with a 4.12 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.

The Rangers are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their best 2 out of 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-0 in the AL Wild Card Round. They finished the regular season with a 90-72 record overall and had a home record of 50-31. This is the 3rd game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Orioles on Tuesday for the AL Division Series and they won game 1 along with game 2 of this series on Saturday and Sunday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .789 OPS. Jordan Montgomery was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Nathan Eovaldi is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 12-5 with a 3.63 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB playoff start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 8 Ks on 6 hits through 6.2 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rangers are leading this series 2-0 after winning both games in Baltimore to start it off. The Rangers have been really hot lately as they were surging near the end of the season to try and win their division and they have carried that roll over into the playoffs. They swept the Rays in 2 games in the Wild Card Round and now they have all the momentum on their side coming back home with a 2-0 lead here. The Orioles are on the brink of elimination and their offense finally showed up in their last game but their pitching has been really bad all season and it has finally come back to bite them in this series. The Rangers are not only hitting the ball well but they are also pitching really well in these playoff games and they are just the hotter team right now with a chance to close out this series at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game and end the series 3-0.

Orioles Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, October 10, 2023 (8:03 pm ET start time) is Rangers 5 Orioles 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 101-63 (+38.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 44-34 (+22.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 20-12 OVER against AL West opponents. 27-19 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Texas Rangers: 33-29 (-4.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 42-40 (-8 units) on the moneyline at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 44-23 OVER as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 21-12 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. Means (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow. D. Tate (RP) Mid Oct - Forearm. T. Vavra (RF) out for season - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back.

Texas Rangers:  J. Gray (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. I. Kennedy (RP) out for season - Shoulder. M. Scherzer (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Miller (DH) out for season - Hamstring. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

“It's a good offense, and it's been a really good offense all year, but we also walked 11 of them. You're not doing yourself any favors by putting that much traffic out there.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Rangers in game 2 of this series on Sunday.

“He can hit, and he’s done a great job this year for us. So gave him the start today. Got a pitch he could handle. He's got big power, and that's big at that point in the game. Really was the difference in the game." - Bruce Bochy after his team’s win against the Orioles in game 2 of this series on Sunday.

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Anthony Santander (S) DH

Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Aaron Hicks (S) RF

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Mitch Garver (R) DH

Adolis Garcia (R) RF

Evan Carter (L) LF

Jonah Heim (S) C

Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B

Josh Jung (R) 3B

Leody Taveras (S) CF

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.289)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (163)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (28)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (95)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (32)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (15)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (33)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.327)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (185)

Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (39)

RBI:  Adolis Garcia (107)

Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (19)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (12)

Saves:  Will Smith (22)

ERA:  Jake Latz (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)