Baltimore Orioles vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/07/2026

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Friday, August 7, 2026

Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX

Where to Watch:  Apple TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +124, Rangers -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +125, Rangers -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +125, Rangers -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  56-59 (4th place, AL East)

Texas Rangers:  57-58 (2nd place, AL West)

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Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

Texas Rangers:  4-6 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-59 record overall and have a road record of 24-29. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .712 OPS. Brandon Young was their starting pitcher on Thursday while Shane Baz is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-10 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 SO on 6 hits through 6.1 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Rangers are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-58 record overall and have a home record of 30-26. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .720 OPS. Cody Bradford was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Nathan Eovaldi is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 10-9 with a 4.31 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 walk with 5 strikeouts on 10 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles haven't looked great in their games this season with their 56-59 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL East. They haven't been a good road team either with their 24-29 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Rangers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 57-58 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AL West. They have looked good in their own ballpark though with their 30-26 home record this season. The Rangers were leading their division at one point, but lately they have been slipping and haven't looked great, now 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Orioles spent a lot of the season well under .500 and looked to be out of the playoff race, but now they are 5-5 in their last 10 games and they have played themselves right back in the race over the last few weeks. The Rangers are going with Eovaldi in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 10-9 with a 4.31 ERA and he has had some really bad starts this year. He is coming off another bad start giving up 6 earned runs which has been a common theme for him and even his team has lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting now. The Orioles are going with Baz in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 4-10 with a 3.86 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. The team has had a lot of trouble with him this year and they have lost 3 games in a row now with him starting, but he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and that has been a common theme for him. The Orioles have the momentum on their side at the moment with their offense putting up runs too, so look for them to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Orioles Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 7, 2026 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Orioles 7 Rangers 4.

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Baltimore Orioles: 222-218 (-19.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 162-152 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 104-89 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 25-15 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Texas Rangers: 123-96 (+8.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 72-48 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 117-101 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 31-21 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles:  R. Mountcastle (1B) Sixty Day IL - Foot. S. Basallo (C) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. B. Alexander (3B) Ten Day IL - Hand. K. Akin (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. R. Helsley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Bassitt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. Z. Eflin (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Westburg (3B) Sixty Day IL - UCL. F. Bautista (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Selby (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

Texas Rangers:  J. Junis (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Groin. J. Jung (3B) Ten Day IL - Calf. K. Higashioka (C) Ten Day IL - Flexor Tendon. J. Corniell (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. J. Beeks (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. J. Leiter (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle. M. Helman (CF) Sixty Day IL - Hand. D. Jansen (C) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. R. Garcia (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Baumler (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. J. Montgomery (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“Love having Rog. He was outstanding tonight. He’s been doing it for a long time now. The fastball, he was getting it to where he wanted to. Great job with the changeup and both breaking-ball shapes. So it was a really good outing, pounding the strike zone. That was a fun outing to watch.” - Craig Albernaz after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday.

“Brandon’s two-out RBI set the tone. Two-out RBIs are momentum inflaters for us and killers for the other side.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Giants in their game on Wednesday. 

Dylan Beavers (L) LF

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Gunnar Henderson (L) DH

Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R) 3B

Jackson Holliday (L) SS

Leody Taveras (S) RF

Jeremiah Jackson (R) 2B

Colton Cowser (L) CF

Yohel Pozo (R) C

Wyatt Langford (R) LF

Ezequiel Duran (R) 3B

Brandon Nimmo (L) RF

Jake Burger (R) 1B

Justin Foscue (R) DH

Elias Díaz (R) C

Nicky Lopez (L) SS

Cam Cauley (R) 2B

Evan Carter (L) CF

Batting Average:  Blaze Alexander (.312)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (106)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (23)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (71)

Stolen Bases:  Leody Taveras (10)

Wins:  Brandon Young (8)

Saves:  Ryan Helsley (8)

ERA:  Jose Espada (0.00)

Batting Average:  Josh Jung (.294)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (114)

Home Runs:  Joc Pederson (20)

RBI:  Jake Burger (66)

Stolen Bases:  Evan Carter (14)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (10)

Saves:  Jacob Latz (21)

ERA:  Cody Bradford (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Craig Albernaz (1st season)

Texas Rangers: Skip Schumaker (1st season)