Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2023

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, July 23, 2023

Venue:  Tropicana Field, Petersburg, FL

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +110, Rays -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +110, Rays -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +110, Rays -130; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  59-38 (1st place, AL East)

Tampa Bay Rays:  61-40 (2nd place, AL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10

Tampa Bay Rays:  4-6 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-38 record overall and have a road record of 29-18. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Rays on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Thursday but lost the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Tyler Wells is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-5 with a 3.54 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 2 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Rays are entering this series on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-40 record overall and have a home record of 36-16. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Thursday but won the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .778 OPS. Shane McClanahan is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Taj Bradley is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-6 with a 5.29 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 9 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays haven't been playing great lately as their offense has been slipping and the Orioles also have the lead of the AL East now. The Rays did get a win over the Orioles on Friday though and they know they can still take back the division with this very important series when they have been crushing teams at home all season. They have their rookie Bradley on the mound here and he has been really up and down this season but he hasn't been getting blown up in his starts and has also been pitching a lot better lately, not giving up as many runs in his starts. He has also been a better home starter this season and will continue pitching well here where he has been good. The Orioles have Wells on the mound in this game and he has also been really up and down in his starts this year but he just gave up 5 runs in his last one and has been starting to give up more runs lately too. The Rays haven't been crushing the ball lately but they still have one of the best offenses in the league here and they are going to show up in this game that they have the better pitching matchup to make sure they pull closer to taking their lead of the AL East back. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.

Orioles Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 23, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Rays 5 Orioles 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 59-38 (+22.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-18 (+16.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 26-16 OVER in road games. 28-19 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Tampa Bay Rays: 14-21 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 4-12 (-11.1 units) on the moneyline in July games. 29-18 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 31-20 OVER in home games. 

Baltimore Orioles:  C. Mullins (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. A. Voth (SP) Late July - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Tampa Bay Rays:  F. Mejia (C) Out Indefinitely - Knee. D. Rasmussen (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Fleming (SP) Late July - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“We just didn’t get anything going. It just wasn’t our night offensively.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Friday.

“It was nice to get back on track. It feels really, really good. We had a good time postgame in the clubhouse. We'll take that momentum into tomorrow." - Zach Eflin after their win against the Orioles in their game on Friday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH

Austin Hays (R) LF

Colton Cowser (L) CF

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

Yandy Diaz (R) 1B

Wander Franco (S) SS

Luke Raley (L) RF

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Isaac Paredes (R) 3B

Brandon Lowe (L) 2B

Harold Ramirez (R) DH

Jose Siri (R) CF

Christian Bethancourt (R) C

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.304)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (96)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (17)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (54)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (23)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (26)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Yandy Diaz (.319)

Hits:  Yandy Diaz (101)

Home Runs:  Jose Siri (20)

RBI:  Randy Arozarena (61)

Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (28)

Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)

Saves:  Jason Adam (11)

ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)