Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/22/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 22, 2023

Venue:  Tropicana Field, Petersburg, FL

Where to Watch:  BSSUN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +160, Rays -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +160, Rays -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +160, Rays -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  59-37 (1st place, AL East)

Tampa Bay Rays:  60-40 (2nd place, AL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  8-2 last 10

Tampa Bay Rays:  3-7 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-37 record overall and have a road record of 29-17. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Rays on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. They also won the series opener of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-2 with a 7.33 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 7 hits through 5 IP against the LA Dodgers.

The Rays are entering this series on a 4 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers in their last series. They enter this game with a 60-40 record overall and have a home record of 35-16. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Thursday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .779 OPS. Zach Eflin is their starting pitcher on Friday while Shane McClanahan is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 11-1 with a 2.56 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Texas Rangers.

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays were rolling in the 1st half of the season with the best record and the best offense all year but lately they have been slipping and don't have the best offense in the MLB anymore while also slipping down to 2nd place in the AL East now. The Orioles now have the 1st place spot in the AL East and have been rolling in their games lately, also with a really good offense, but their pitching hasn't been great all season with their starters struggling and their bullpen also giving up a ton of runs. The Orioles are also going to have Rodriguez on the mound here and he hasn't been good in most of his starts this season, giving up a ton of runs in a majority of his starts and also giving up 4 runs in his last one. The Rays may not have the best offense in the MLB anymore but they still have a really good offense in the top 5 and they have been rolling teams at home all season. The Rays will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get in this game from the Orioles pitching staff while the Orioles offense struggles to score on McClanahan. McClanahan is starting for the Rays and not only has he been one of the best starters in the MLB all season but he was also great in his 1st start back from injury a few days ago. He will continue to pitch well at home here like he has been doing all year and the Rays will have a big pitching advantage in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game and on the runline.

Orioles Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 22, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Rays 6 Orioles 1.

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Baltimore Orioles: 59-37 (+23.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-17 (+17.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 26-15 OVER in road games. 28-18 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Tampa Bay Rays: 3-12 (-12.1 units) on the moneyline in July games. 29-17 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 31-19 OVER in home games. 25-16 OVER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Baltimore Orioles:  C. Mullins (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. A. Voth (SP) Late July - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Tampa Bay Rays:  F. Mejia (C) Ques Fri - Knee. D. Rasmussen (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Fleming (SP) Late July - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“It’s just July, that’s kind of where I’m at right now. This team (the Rays) is so good and so hard to play, especially here. We’ve been on the other side of those type of games I can’t tell you how many times.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Thursday.

“Ugly, yeah.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Thursday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) 1B

Ryan O'Hearn (L) DH

Austin Hays (R) LF

Aaron Hicks (S) CF

Ramon Urias (R) 2B

Colton Cowser (L) RF

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Yandy Diaz (R) DH

Wander Franco (S) SS

Luke Raley (L) 1B

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Brandon Lowe (L) 2B

Jose Siri (R) CF

Josh Lowe (L) RF

Taylor Walls (S) 3B

Francisco Mejia (S) C

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.305)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (96)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (17)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (54)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (23)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (26)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Yandy Diaz (.318)

Hits:  Yandy Diaz (100)

Home Runs:  Jose Siri (19)

RBI:  Randy Arozarena (61)

Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (28)

Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)

Saves:  Jason Adam (11)

ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)