by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Jul 16, 2022
Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, July 17, 2022
Venue: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Where to Watch: BSSUN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Orioles +135, Rays -160; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Orioles +140, Rays -160; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Orioles +135, Rays -155; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Baltimore Orioles: 45-45 (5th place, AL East)
Tampa Bay Rays: 50-40 (2nd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles: 9-1 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays: 7-3 last 10
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Analysis
The Orioles were on a 10 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Chicago Cubs 2-0 completing the sweep in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 45-45 record overall and have a road record of 20-28. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Rays on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Dean Kremer is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Jordan Lyles is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-7 with a 4.37 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 7 IP against the Chicago Cubs.
The Rays enter this game on a 5 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Boston Red Sox 4-0 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 50-40 record overall and have a home record of 30-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .687 OPS. Ryan Yarbrough is on the mound on Saturday while Corey Kluber will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Sunday. He is 5-5 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox.
Orioles vs Rays Prediction
The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Rays have been playing very well in their recent games as they just swept the Red Sox and even took the series opener against the Orioles here. They snapped a 10 game win streak that the Orioles were on but the Orioles have not been a great team on the road this season and the Rays are probably the best team they have faced in this span. They still played very well leading for most of the game and coming very close in the end but the Rays have a very good pitching staff while the Orioles have one of the worst offense in the MLB this season. They have been very good recently but they are cooling down now and the Rays have stunted a lot of good lineups with their pitching this season. The Orioles were on a good run but it is over now and they likely will need a home win to get back on track after this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.
Orioles Rays Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 17, 2022 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Rays 3 Orioles 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Baltimore Orioles: 122-190 (-6.8 Units) ML in all games. 57-102 (-5.7 Units) ML in road games. 26-20 UNDER in road games.
Tampa Bay Rays: 202-134 (+37.4 Units) ML in all games. 108-56 (+26.5 Units) ML in home games. 22-16 UNDER against division opponents.
Key Injuries
Baltimore Orioles: T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Ellis (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
Tampa Bay Rays: W. Franco (SS) Early Sept - Wrist. M. Margot (CF) Late Aug - Knee. K. Kiermaier (CF) Out indefinitely - Hip.
Notable Quotes
"We just a bad inning on the mound and we left too many runners on base early in the game." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Rays on Friday.
"I didn't think it was good enough for a homer, and then I thought he might have knocked it out and I had a double or something." - Christian Bethancourt after their win against the Orioles on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (Z) CF
Trey Mancini (D) DH
Anthony Santander (A) LF
Ryan Mountcastle (D) 1B
Austin Hays (D) RF
Adley Rutschman (A) C
Ramon Urias (D) 3B
Rougned Odor (Z) 2B
Jorge Mateo (D) SS
Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (D) 3B
Harold Ramirez (D) DH
Ji-Man Choi (Z) 1B
Randy Arozarena (D) LF
Isaac Paredes (D) 2B
Josh Lowe (Z) CF
Yu Chang (D) SS
Francisco Mejia (A) C
Luke Raley (Z) RF
Statistical Leaders
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average: Trey Mancini (.285)
Hits: Cedric Mullins (93)
Home Runs: Anthony Santander (15)
RBI: Anthony Santander (46)
Stolen Bases: Jorge Mateo (22)
Wins: Tyler Wells (7)
Saves: Jorge Lopez (17)
ERA: Cionel Perez (1.48)
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average: Jonathan Aranda (.375)
Hits: Yandy Diaz (83)
Home Runs: Isaac Paredes (13)
RBI: Randy Arozarena (40)
Stolen Bases: Randy Arozarena (18)
Wins: Shane McClanahan (10)
Saves: Colin Poche (6)
ERA: J.P. Feyereisen (0.00)
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
