Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/21/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 20, 2023
Game Time: 12:10 pm ET, Wednesday, June 21, 2023
Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL
Where to Watch:  BSSUN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +130, Rays -150; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +130, Rays -150; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +130, Rays -150; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  44-27 (2nd place, AL East)
Tampa Bay Rays:  51-24 (1st place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-27 record overall and have a road record of 22-14. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Rays on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tyler Wells is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 6.2 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Rays are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-24 record overall and have a home record of 31-7. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .803 OPS. Tyler Glasnow is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Taj Bradley is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-3 with a 4.19 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 11 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.


Orioles vs Rays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been having a great season as they have one of the best records in the MLB but still find themselves in 2nd place in their division. That is because the Rays have the best record in the entire MLB and lead the AL East right now. This is a huge series for the Orioles though as they have a chance to pull closer to the Rays in the standings and as good as the Rays have been this year, most of their losses have come against division opponents as they have struggled more in the AL East. Both of these teams have had great offenses all season so they will both be able to put up runs in this game but the Orioles have a solid starter in Wells here while the Rays have their rookie Bradley on the mound. Bradley hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in his starts but he hasn't been great either and the Orioles will surely take advantage of the scoring chances they get from him. Wells has been a lot more consistent as a starter though as he hasn't been giving up many runs all season and he will give the Orioles the edge they need here to beat the Rays in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Orioles Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 21, 2023 (12:10 pm ET start time) is Orioles 4 Rays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 0-9 (-9 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 7 or less. 55-94 (-27.6 units) on the moneyline in day games. 20-14 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 15-9 OVER on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Tampa Bay Rays: 51-24 (+20 units) on the moneyline in all games. 46-16 (+22.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 22-13 OVER as a home favorite of -110 or higher. 24-13 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  G. Henderson (3B) Ques Tues - Illness. J. McCann (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. M. Givens (RP) Late June - Shoulder. A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. C. Mullins (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Tampa Bay Rays:  B. Lowe (2B) Mid July - Back. C. Faucher (RP) Late June - Elbow. J. Fleming (SP) Late July - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We have some guys right now that are really playing well and helping out with the loss of some guys that have really helped us in here the last couple of years.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Cubs in their game on Sunday.


“It looked like on replay he was out, but I thought maybe there was a chance of blocking (by Nola) but they confirmed everything. Brady (Williams, third base coach) did right, Margot did right. Unfortunately, Tatis did a little bit better.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s loss against the Padres in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Austin Hays (R) LF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Anthony Santander (S) DH
Ryan O'Hearn (L) RF
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Josh Lester (L) 1B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (R) 1B
Wander Franco (S) SS
Luke Raley (L) DH
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Josh Lowe (L) RF
Manuel Margot (R) CF
Taylor Walls (S) 2B
Christian Bethancourt (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.349)
Hits:  Austin Hays (77)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (11)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (39)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (20)
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (19)
ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.99)

Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Harold Ramirez (.306)
Hits:  Wander Franco (81)
Home Runs:  Randy Arozarena (13)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (48)
Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (24)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)
Saves:  Jason Adam (11)
ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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