Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/07/2024

Game Time: 6:50 pm ET, Friday, June 7, 2024

Venue:  Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL 

Where to Watch:  MASN2

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -105, Rays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -105, Rays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -105, Rays -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  39-21 (2nd place, AL East)

Tampa Bay Rays:  31-31 (4th place, AL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10

Tampa Bay Rays:  6-4 last 10

The Orioles won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-21 record overall and have a road record of 18-9. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Rays on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Thursday. The Orioles won the series opener of that series on Monday and the 2nd game on Tuesday but lost the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cade Povich is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Cole Irvin is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-2 with a 2.84 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 1 K on 8 hits through 6.1 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Rays are entering this game off a win and completed the sweep in their 2-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-31 record overall and have a home record of 17-18. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .669 OPS. Zach Eflin was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Aaron Civale is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-4 with a 5.37 ERA this season. His team lost their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked really good in their games this season with their 39-21 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL East and fighting to catch the Yankees in 1st place. They still have one of the best records in the entire MLB right now and they are also 18-9 in their home games. Meanwhile, the Rays have really regressed this season after dominating the AL East over the last few years. They have a 31-31 record overall this year which has them right in the middle of the division and well out of the race, and they haven't even looked good in their home games with their 17-18 home record. The Orioles also have one of the best offenses in the entire MLB while the Rays are in the bottom 10 of the league, and that is going to help the Rays here with this pitching matchup. The Rays are going with Civale who is coming off a good start in his last one, giving up just 1 earned run, but he hasn't been great this year with his 2-4 record and his 5.37 ERA. The Orioles are going to have Irvin going in this game and he has looked a lot better in his starts this season. He is 5-2 with a 2.84 ERA and he is also coming off a good start which he allowed 2 earned runs in. The Orioles have looked a lot better in their games all season and they are the improving team while the Rays are finally due for some regression this year. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Orioles Rays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 7, 2024 (6:50 pm ET start time) is Orioles 4 Rays 1.

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Baltimore Orioles: 39-21 (+8.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 18-9 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 13-5 (+6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 23-15 OVER against right-handed starters. 30-23 OVER in all games. KYLE BRADISH is 6-3 OVER in June games.

Tampa Bay Rays: 31-31 (-7.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 17-18 (-6.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 20-26 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 39-20 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins. AARON CIVALE is 17-9 OVER in home games and 32-24 OVER in all games.

Baltimore Orioles:  C. Mayo (3B) Ques Thurs - Ribs. S. Basallo (C) Out indefinitely - Thumb.

Tampa Bay Rays:  C. Poche (RP) Late June - Back. J. Caminero (SS) Mid July - Quadricep. J. Waguespack (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Walls (SS) Late May - Hip. W. Franco (SS) Out indefinitely - Poss. Suspension. J. Springs (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. S. McClanahan (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Yimi García might be the best reliever in the game right now, the way he’s throwing the baseball.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.

“Randy’s at bats over the last three or four games have been really impressive. That might be the most encouraging thing, the way he is seeing the ball. He’s taking good swings and driving some balls down the line.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Wednesday.

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Austin Hays (R) LF

Connor Norby (R) 2B

James McCann (R) C

Colton Cowser (L) CF

Yandy Díaz (R) 1B

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Brandon Lowe (L) 2B

Isaac Paredes (R) DH

Amed Rosario (R) 3B

Josh Lowe (L) CF

Harold Ramírez (R) RF

José Caballero (R) SS

Ben Rortvedt (L) C

Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (72)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (19)

RBI:  Gunnar Henderson (42)

Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (12)

Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (6)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (13)

ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.302)

Hits:  Isaac Paredes (64)

Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (10)

RBI:  Isaac Paredes (37)

Stolen Bases:  José Caballero (21)

Wins:  Garrett Cleavinger (4)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (8)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (10th season)