Baltimore Orioles vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Game Time: 7:45 pm ET, Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Venue:  Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Where to Watch:  BSMW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +185, Cardinals -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +185, Cardinals -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +185, Cardinals -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  12-17 (4th place, AL East)
St Louis Cardinals:  16-12 (2nd place, NL Central)
 
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Baltimore Orioles vs St Louis Cardinals Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
St Louis Cardinals:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 12-17 record overall and they are 3-10 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cardinals on Wednesday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Kyle Bradish is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Spenser Watkins is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 0-0 with a 3.22 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 7 hits in 4.2 IP against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

St Louis Cardinals Analysis

The Cardinals are coming into this game with a 16-12 record overall and they are 7-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just split their 4-game series against the San Francisco Giants 2-2, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. There is no probable pitcher for them on Tuesday while Miles Mikolas will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 2-1 with a 1.53 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 7 hits in 5.2 innings played against the San Francisco Giants. They scored 20 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 20 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Orioles vs Cardinals Prediction

The Cardinals are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in their games recently and were on a little streak prior to losing their last 2 games. They kept one of those games very close though and they still scored over 10 runs in those 2 games as well. Their offense has been moving well in their recent games and they are going up against an Orioles team that has also been playing very well recently but have not been a very good team on the road either. The Orioles have been much better at home this season and the Cardinals have a very good bullpen to help them secure this game. The Orioles have been overachieving a little for their team this season and that will likely start regressing in their games on the road where they have not been as good. The Cardinals have been hitting the ball well recently and should be able to win this game by a few runs. The best bet here is on the Cardinals to win this game on the runline.
 
Orioles Cardinals Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 11, 2022 (7:45 pm ET start time) is Cardinals 8 Orioles 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 89-162 (-24 Units) ML in all games. 19-40 (-13.1 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 10-2 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
St Louis Cardinals: 137-115 (+17.9 Units) ML in all games. 53-40 (+9.1 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 29-21 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  C. Ellis (SP) out for season - Shoulder. A. Wells (SP) Late July - Elbow. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow.
St Louis Cardinals:  A. Wainwright (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness. E. Sosa (SS) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Flaherty (SP) Late May - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"That inning was a keep-the-line-moving type of attitude." - Brandon Hyde on the 5th inning in his team’s win against the Royals on Monday
 
 
"I never thought this was about me. This was about me being a part of something." - Yadier Molina after their loss against the Giants on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Tyler Nevin (R) 3B
Anthony Bemboom (L) C
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 
St Louis Cardinals
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Nolan Arenado (R) 3B
Albert Pujols (R) DH
Juan Yepez (R) LF
Dylan Carlson (S) RF
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Andrew Knizner (R) C
Paul DeJong (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.327)
Hits:  Austin Hays (34)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (4)
RBI:  Ryan Mountcastle (16)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (9)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (3)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (4)
ERA:  Cionel Perez (0.00)
 
St Louis Cardinals
Batting Average:  Juan Yepez (.474)
Hits:  Nolan Arenado (34)
Home Runs:  Nolan Arenado (7)
RBI:  Nolan Arenado (24)
Stolen Bases:  Harrison Bader (7)
Wins:  Steven Matz (3)
Saves:  Giovanny Gallegos (6)
ERA:  Ryan Helsley (0.00)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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