Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/02/2024

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 01, 2024
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 2, 2024
Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA 
Where to Watch:  MASN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -118, Mariners -102; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -118, Mariners -102; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -118, Mariners -102; Over/Under:  7 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  53-31 (1st place, AL East)
Seattle Mariners:  47-39 (1st place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
Seattle Mariners:  3-7 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and won their 4-game series against the Texas Rangers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-31 record overall and have a road record of 24-14. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .778 OPS. Cole Irvin was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-3 with a 3.72 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the Cleveland Guardians.

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-39 record overall and have a home record of 28-14. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .663 OPS. Luis Castillo was their starting pitcher on Sunday while George Kirby is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-5 with a 3.35 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Orioles vs Mariners Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have looked great in their games this season with their 53-31 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They just passed the Yankees for 1st place in the division and will be looking to keep it, and they have also looked great in their road games with their 24-14 road record. Meanwhile, the Mariners have also looked good in their games this season with their 47-39 record overall which has them leading the AL West, and they have also looked good in their home games with their 28-14 home record. They have Kirby on the mound here and he has been really good this season with his 7-5 record and his 3.35 ERA. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start too, but the Mariners just lost their last series at home to the Twins and they have been cooling off lately. The Orioles also have their own stud on the mound here with Rodriguez as he is 9-3 with a 3.72 ERA. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and he has also been giving up very few runs this year. Both teams have had success with these starters lately, but the Orioles are the hotter team right now as they won their last series and their offense was really hot in it. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game. 

Orioles Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 2, 2024 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Orioles 3 Mariners 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 24-13 (+7.85 units) on the moneyline in their last 37 games. 26-17 (+12.55 units) on the runline in their last 43 games. 44-25 (+14.80 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 69 games. 

Seattle Mariners: 23-29 (-12.50 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 52 games. 28-13 to the under in their last 41 home games. 31-22 to the under with their first 5 team total in their last 53 games. 

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  K. Bradish (SP) - UCL Sprain. J. Means (SP) - Elbow. D. Coulombe (RP) - Elbow. D. Kremer (SP) - Tricep. T. Wells (SP) - Elbow. F. Bautista (RP) - Elbow.

Seattle Mariners:  L. Raley (LF) - Shoulder. B. Woo (SP) - Hamstring. G. Speier (RP) - Rotator Cuff. S. Haggerty (LF) - Achilles. M. Brash (RP) - Elbow. G. Santos (RP) - Lat. J. Kowar (RP) - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He was late with that curtain call. We've got to work on that. That was five seconds too late. It lost its luster. I give the crowd credit for recognizing the moment. We just booted it in the dugout.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.


“Luis hasn't had a bat in his hands for a couple of years. There is so much baseball yet and we need him to be a guy for us on the mound. You have to be really careful there.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
G Henderson (L) SS
A Rutschman (S) C
A Santander (S) RF
J Westburg (R) 3B
A Hays (R) LF
R O'Hearn (L) 1B
J Mateo (R) 2B
H Kjerstad (L) DH
C Cowser (L) CF

Seattle Mariners
J Crawford (L) SS
J Rojas (L) 3B
J Rodríguez (R) CF
C Raleigh (S) DH
L Raley (L) RF
M Garver (R) C
J Polanco (S) 2B
T France (R) 1B
D Moore (R) LF

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ryan McKenna (.375)
Hits:  Adley Rutschman (95)
Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (26)
RBI:  Gunnar Henderson (58)
Stolen Bases:  Cedric Mullins (16)
Wins:  Grayson Rodriguez (9)
Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (19)
ERA:  Corbin Burnes (2.28)

Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Samad Taylor (.400)
Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (83)
Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (14)
RBI:  Cal Raleigh (50)
Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodríguez (17)
Wins:  George Kirby (7)
Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (13)
ERA:  Andrés Muñoz (1.64)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (6th season)
Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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