Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/26/2023

Game Time: 6:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 26, 2023

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +100, Phillies -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  62-38 (1st place, AL East)

Philadelphia Phillies:  53-47 (3rd place, NL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  5-5 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 62-38 record overall and have a road record of 32-18. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Kyle Gibson is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-5 with a 3.05 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Phillies are entering this series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-47 record overall and have a home record of 26-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .735 OPS. Taijuan Walker is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Ranger Suárez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-5 with a 4.07 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5 innings played against the Cleveland Guardians.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been rolling all season but they have been getting especially hot now as they now have the lead of the AL East with their hot offense carrying them in a lot of games. The Phillies have also been playing a lot better over the last few weeks but they lost a lot of their momentum in the All-Star break and haven't been as menacing since coming back. The Orioles have a much better offense right now and they can definitely take advantage of the better pitching matchup in this game to continue rolling against this Phillies team that has been slipping lately. The Orioles are also going with Bradish on the mound here and he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts lately. The Phillies offense hasn't been great in their games lately either so Bradish will pitch well in this game and shut down the Phillies lineup. The Phillies have Suarez starting here and he hasn't been great this season, consistently giving up a lot of runs just like how he gave up 4 runs in his last start too. This Orioles team is really hot as a whole right now and their offense has been showing no quit in their games too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Orioles Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 26, 2023 (6:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 7 Phillies 4.

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Baltimore Orioles: 62-38 (+27.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-18 (+20.9 units) on the moneyline in road games. 21-11 UNDER against NL East opponents. 37-23 UNDER in an inter-league game.

Philadelphia Phillies: 35-33 (-5.5 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 17-23 (-14.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 21-11 UNDER in an inter-league game. 13-5 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hicks (CF) Ques Tues - Hamstring. A. Voth (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. C. Mullins (CF) Out indefinitely - Groin. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Philadelphia Phillies:  N. Song (SP) Early Aug - Back. S. Dominguez (RP) Prob Tues - Oblique. C. Pache (LF) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Alvarado (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hoskins (1B) out for season - Knee.

“We did a lot of good things defensively. Enormous play.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Monday.

“They're all frustrating. You want to win every game.” - Rob Thomson after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Monday.

Austin Hays (R) LF

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Gunnar Henderson (L) DH

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Aaron Hicks (S) CF

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

James McCann (R) C

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) LF

Trea Turner (R) SS

Bryce Harper (L) DH

Nick Castellanos (R) RF

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Josh Harrison (R) 3B

Jake Cave (L) 1B

Garrett Stubbs (L) C

Johan Rojas (R) CF

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.311)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (97)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (17)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (55)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (23)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (10)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (28)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Johan Rojas (.333)

Hits:  Bryson Stott (111)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (26)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (62)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (21)

Wins:  Taijuan Walker (11)

Saves:  Craig Kimbrel (16)

ERA:  Jose Alvarado (1.38)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (2nd season)